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ALABAMA @ S.
CAROLINA
BAMA MAY BE CATCHING
GAMECOCKS AT RIGHT TIME
September 15,
2005
by Jess Nicholas
Editor-in-Chief
TideFans.com
Click here for the TideFans.com:
USC GameDay
Guide™
When South Carolina named Steve Spurrier its head coach over the 2004-05
offseason, the announcement drew varying degrees of surprise and
bemusement from the Alabama fan base.
One of the other emotions that surfaced was relief, as South Carolina
goes off the Alabama schedule after this year. The next time Alabama
plays South Carolina, it may very well be in the Georgia Dome for all
the SEC marbles.
Few are under the impression that Spurrier can build a consistent
contender in Columbia. The talent pool isn't large enough, there is too
much competition for recruit signatures and Spurrier himself may be
nearing the twilight of his career. But South Carolina could easily
become a major pain in the backsides of Georgia, Florida and
particularly Tennessee, and no one in Alabama -- even the Auburn fans --
would argue with that.
In the here and now, South Carolina is a potentially dangerous team, but
not one on the level of a Florida or LSU. The Gamecocks are changing
offensive and defensive systems, fighting injury issues and are still
building confidence in a style that doesn't quite fit the personality of
a team recruited by groundhog Lou Holtz.
This will be Alabama's first road test. South Carolina is coming off a
heartbreaking loss at Georgia, to a team much better than the Gamecocks
are or will be in 2005. How Alabama responds to this challenge will tell
a great deal about the Tide's hopes in 2005 and perhaps beyond.
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OFFENSE |
|
Spurrier's Fun
'N' Gun offense has been renamed the "Cock 'N' Fire" offense after
the Gamecock nickname, but it's still the same thing that Spurrier
won with in Florida. It's a collection of timing routes, zone
passing plays and passes to running backs, run mostly out of a
one-back spread but also occasionally out of the I-formation. When
it works, it's maddeningly difficult to defend, but South Carolina
hasn't shown the capability to run the football effectively in 2005,
and that's a major component in making this offense go. Alabama
counters with its pro set attack, which seems to be more balanced
than in previous seasons under head coach Mike Shula. |
| |
|
QUARTERBACKS |
|
Give it to Steve
Spurrier -- he can make Gamecock salad out of Gamecock refuse.
Quarterback Blake Mitchell wasn't on anyone's watch list headed into
the season, but in two games, he's completed 40 of 57 passes (70.2%)
for 566 yards, 4 touchdowns and just 2 interceptions. Those are good
numbers for any quarterback, but they're outstanding given that
Mitchell nearly lost the starting job to a walk-on in the preseason.
Alabama counters
with Brodie Croyle, who is having a solid senior season so far but
needs to cut down on the mental mistakes. Croyle has put up almost
identical numbers to Mitchell (32-for-61, 60.7%, 540 yards, 3 TD, 2
INT), but has far better physical tools. Croyle's arm strength
allows him to make tougher throws than Mitchell, and the experience
Croyle has under center can't be approximated for Mitchell even by
Spurrier's time in and around the SEC.
Depth is about
the same for both teams. Redshirt freshman Antonio Heffner has yet
to throw a pass for South Carolina, while true freshman John Parker
Wilson played sparingly for Alabama in its opener against MTSU.
Neither figures to be a game changer if called upon Saturday.
Advantage: Alabama |
| |
|
RUNNING BACKS |
|
South Carolina's
rushing offense is ranked 111th out of 117 Division-IA
teams, so you can probably guess who wins this category before we
even talk about it. Spurrier's attention to disciplinary issues in
the preseason cost South Carolina Demetris Summers and Cory Boyd,
and their losses were significant. Running back is now the property
of true freshman Mike Davis, who Alabama recruited last winter. But
he is averaging just 2.7 yards per carry at the moment and has only
52 yards rushing on the season. Another true freshman, Bobby
Wallace, is the backup. He's carried 5 times for 5 yards so far.
Things get better
at fullback, where Daccus Turman resides. Turman has lots of
experience and will occasionally slip back to tailback when South
Carolina goes to the one-back look. He carried 5 times for 22 yards
against Georgia last week.
Alabama counters
with the trio of running back Kenneth Darby, fullback Le'Ron McClain
and combo back Tim Castille. Between the three of them, Alabama has
one of the more solid running back corps in the conference. Depth
for Alabama, though, is an issue at the moment. Reserve running
backs Glen Coffee and Jimmy Johns will both be limited at best for
this game, meaning the Crimson Tide will either have to go to
walk-ons Theo Townsend and Rashad Johnson, or use Castille more at
running back.
If Alabama
chooses the latter option, Vic Horn could get some action at
fullback. While neither team has an optimal situation at the moment,
Alabama has had much better production.
Advantage: Alabama |
| |
|
WIDE RECEIVERS |
|
Another hallmark
of a Spurrier-coached team is good wide receivers, and South
Carolina's 2005 crew seems to be living up to that. Syvelle Newton,
the quarterback of this team for much of 2004, has moved to wide
receiver and is enjoying a solid season. Kris Clark, Noah Whiteside
and Sidney Rice make a good supporting cast, along with Travis Lee
and Carlos Thomas. But South Carolina will be without starting tight
end Andy Boyd for this game, forcing Jonathan Hannah and Robert
Pavlovic to split time there.
Alabama counters
with a handful of playmakers of its own. Tyrone Prothro won every
highlight reel award imaginable last week for his
behind-the-defender's-back grab of a Brodie Croyle bomb, but it was
fellow wideout D.J. Hall who may have had the bigger impact on the
night. By contrast, Matt Caddell and Keith Brown were the stars of
the opener, and Alabama also has Ezekial Knight ready to go. Nick
Walker may see more passes his way at tight end as the season
progresses, but depth is shaky there, with freshmen Travis McCall
and Charles Hoke the only healthy backups. South Carolina's group is
getting better, but Alabama is deeper at the moment and more
dangerous as a unit.
Advantage: Alabama |
| |
|
OFFENSIVE LINE |
|
Both teams have
major issues. South Carolina's tackles, Jabari Levey and Na'Shan
Goddard, are as good as they come in the SEC, but the middle of the
USC line is one of the major culprits in the Gamecocks' anemic
rushing offense. Center Chris White has been inconsistent, and
reserve Fran Person will likely play. William Brown will start at
one guard position, but the other is up in the air between Freddy
Saint-Preux, James Thompson and Kyle Bishop.
Alabama also has
two solid players -- left guard Antoine Caldwell, and right tackle
Kyle Tatum, who has been a pleasant surprise in the first two weeks.
But center J.B. Closner has not made as much progress as hoped, and
the left tackle and right guard positions have been disaster areas.
Chris Capps
started the first two games at left tackle, but may lose the
position to Cody Davis and doesn't figure to play more than half the
snaps in any circumstance. B.J. Stabler and Taylor Britt may combine
at right guard this week, as week one starter Mark Sanders and week
two starter Marlon Davis both may be out with leg injuries. Look for
plenty of mistakes by both groups.
Advantage: South Carolina |
| |
|
DEFENSE |
| |
|
South Carolina
has given up the gimmick defenses of the past in favor of a more
familiar 4-3 base, but the Gamecocks will run plenty of nickel sets
and one starting linebacker, Mike West, will resemble a rover in
many situations. Alabama counters with its own 4-3 multiple base,
but look for more 3-3-5 and 4-2-5 looks this week to counter the
Gamecocks' passing attack. |
| |
|
DEFENSIVE LINE |
|
South Carolina
had to replace all four starters from 2004, and the Gamecocks are
doing it in an unusual way in 2005. USC frequently runs a stand-up
set, where no lineman is down in a three-point stance prior to the
snap. The look is used when a pass is expected, or to confuse the
offensive line, but it leaves South Carolina open to big running
plays inside.
Currently, South
Carolina is ranked 73rd against the run and 54th
in total defense, largely because of failures in the front seven.
The defensive ends aren't part of the problem; De'Adrian Coley, Josh
Johnson and Charles Silas can get to the passer consistently and
have good athletic ability. Jordin Lindsey provides depth. But the
middle, with Marque Hall and Chris Tucker ahead of Stanley Doughty
and Seth Edwards, has been disappointing.
Alabama counters
with a group that is currently ranked 2nd nationally
against the run, yielding only 21.5 yards per game on the ground. In
addition, Alabama's interior line is getting a better pass rush than
in 2004. Mark Anderson and Wallace Gilberry help collapse the pocket
from the outside, while Jeremy Clark, Rudy Griffin, Justin Britt and
J.P. Adams work the inside. Britt is hurt, however, and may not
play, and fellow reserve Dominic Lee is also hobbled.
Chris Harris,
Keith Saunders and Bobby Greenwood will give help from the outside.
If Lee and Britt are both sidelined Saturday, look for walk-on
Justin Johnson to perhaps get some time. While Alabama is battling
health concerns, South Carolina is battling quality concerns. The
Crimson Tide, although not 100 percent, easily takes this category.
Advantage: Alabama |
| |
|
LINEBACKERS |
|
Again, South
Carolina had to replace almost an entire unit, but results have been
more favorable here. Lance Laury is becoming a good middle backer,
with Ricardo Hurley a solid player outside. But it has been transfer
Mike West who has made the most noise so far, leading the team with
18 tackles. West is good in run support and can also drop back into
coverage. Depth is good, with Ryan Brown, Dustin Lindsey, Cody Wells
and Orus Lambert coming off the bench.
Alabama counters
with Freddie Roach in the middle flanked by DeMeco Ryans and Juwan
Simpson. Roach showed few effects of a week one elbow injury against
Southern Miss, but key reserve Terrence Jones missed the USM game
and will likely miss this one as well. Depth, therefore, falls
mostly to Matt Collins in the middle and Demarcus Waldrop outside.
Collins is limited on passing downs, though, so look for more 3-3-5
formations and extra safeties. If Alabama needs extra linebackers,
Juke King and Marcel Stamps are possibilities. South Carolina is
solid, but only West has looked like a true playmaker so far.
Alabama is just as deep, and has more playmaking ability.
Advantage: Alabama |
| |
|
DEFENSIVE BACKS |
|
This is perhaps
the closest category between the two teams, as both will field
quality units. In the preseason, it was safety Ko Simpson and
cornerback Fred Bennett who were getting the most attention for
South Carolina. Both players still turn heads, but cornerback
Jonathan Joseph is quickly making his presence felt. He is third on
the team in tackles, has one tackle behind the line of scrimmage and
one interception so far. Chris Hampton rounds out the starting
group, while corners Tremaine Tyler and Stoney Woodson and safeties
Brandon Isaac and Ty Erving round out this group.
Alabama will
field the familiar foursome of Roman Harper and Charlie Peprah at
safety and Anthony Madison and Ramzee Robinson at cornerback. Simeon
Castille will also play a lot at corner, while Jeffery Dukes figures
to see copious playing time at safety. Lionel Mitchell and Marcus
Carter round out the depth. Statistically, Alabama is better at pass
defense, but South Carolina has better pass efficiency defense
numbers. Both groups are good, but Alabama has a slim edge in depth.
Advantage: Alabama |
| |
|
SPECIAL TEAMS |
|
Simply put,
Alabama is having a terrible time. Take away return man Tyrone
Prothro, and Alabama would have the worst unit in the conference
hands down. Net punting numbers rank the Crimson Tide 102nd
in the country, the fault of both the coverage units and the
punters. As a result, senior Jeremy Schatz will probably take over
for junior Jeff Aul this week. Placekicker is also up for grabs.
Jamie Christensen figures to hold onto at least the kickoff job, but
Ryan Saxby may take over on placement kicks, at least those from
short distances.
For South
Carolina, it's all about one man, Josh Brown. Brown is averaging
40.7 yards per punt and has hit both his short field goal attempts.
Freshman Ryan Succop will handle kickoffs, and as a result, Prothro
may not get a chance to return anything. Succop's leg strength is
impressive. He'll also handle long field goals for South Carolina,
but he is 0-for-2 so far in 2005. Kick and punt returns are both
well below the national average for USC. While the Gamecocks are not
the greatest in the world at special teams, Alabama is having big
problems at the moment.
Advantage: South Carolina |
| |
|
OVERALL |
| |
|
Alabama leads in six categories, South Carolina in two. But unlike
the last two weeks, the talent level is much closer. For all Lou
Holtz's failings at South Carolina, he managed to recruit a decent
amount of talent to Columbia. Spurrier's problem is that the talent
is spread thin at the top and is not equal position to position.
Therefore, South Carolina has more holes than Alabama, and
some of them -- particularly at interior defensive line -- are
glaring. Alabama has to be worried about how close South Carolina
played a much better Georgia team last week, but at the same time,
the Gamecocks have to be worried about how easily Alabama seemed to
come back from an 11-point deficit to a quality Southern Miss team.
The devil is in the details here, and those details will be the old
standards of keeping turnovers to a minimum, stopping the big play
and winning the kicking game.
Neither team looks like a sure-fire pick to do those
things. In South Carolina's corner is home field advantage, hunger
for Spurrier's first SEC win and a passing style no one in the
conference has seen for a few years.
In Alabama's favor is slightly superior talent, better
overall team speed and an experienced quarterback, not to mention
three straight years in the same offensive system. Look for a close
game, but look for Alabama to pull away very late in the contest by
making fewer mistakes than the Gamecocks, who are still learning
Spurrier's ropes. |
| |
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PREDICTION |
|
Alabama 24
USC
13
ALABAMA DEPTH CHART
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