The PTB at *U should be very nervous. Emmert knows now, because of the PSU thing, he can do anything he wants to do as long as he has public opinion behind him. Every CFB fan knows they bought Newton, and you would be hard pressed to find a single one, other than barn fans of course, that would not want him to nail them for that. All it would take is something like Yahoo getting behind it like they did with Bush and USC.
I don't see a train wreck coming. Special teams will be very good, the defense could be pretty decent, and while the offense will be a flaming crater like it was last year, I think the schedule can keep them afloat at a solid record.
You've got to figure that they have at least four wins baked into the schedule (ULM, Ole Miss, New Mexico State, and Alabama A&M). Beyond those guaranteed four wins, they've got pretty low-lying fruit in at least three others (Clemson, MSU, and Vandy). That will probably put them in the neighborhood of six or seven wins, and if they can continue the luck in close games that they have gotten the first three years, it wouldn't be a surprise to see them finish with around eight or nine wins factoring in a mid-tier bowl win against an also-ran of another conference.
I think they'll be a lot like last year. Decent win total, but an ugly team to watch and one that will get smoked by the better teams, specifically 'Bama, LSU, and UGA. Still, though, you can be a bad team these days and still get six or seven wins.
I see them with basically a 4 game schedule. 4 automatic wins (Lou-Mon, Ole Sis, NM State, & Bama A&M), 4 automatic losses (Ark, LSU, Ga, & Bama). that leaves them with 4 toss ups (Clemson, Miss ST, Vandy, & tex A&M). maybe we get lucky and they go 4-8, more than likely with their luck 6-6 or 7-5.
"What happened yesterday is history. What happens tomorrow is a mystery. What we do today makes a difference - the precious present moment."-Nick Saban
I'm in agreement with you and going to go against the CW here. I think there's good reason to think the barn beats both Clemson and State, and I see only 3 sure losses on their schedule (Bama, UGA, and LSU) and they have Arkansas at home. With a little luck, which it always seems that they have some in the final two minutes of games, I could see them scrapping and clawing their way to 9-3 or 8-4. Also, I think their coaching staff knows that there backs are against the wall. If they are 7-5 or worse several of them could be in the unemployment line at the end of the year.
Last edited by deliveryman35; August 23rd, 2012 at 10:50 AM.
"Football is a hard game. These spread coaches forget that. Until good defenses remind them." Gene Stallings
Auburn likely has four almost guaranteed wins (ULM, Ole Miss, New Mexico State, and Alabama A&M), four almost guaranteed losses ('Bama, LSU, UGA, and Arkansas). That puts them right around .500 with one-third of the schedule left up in the air to let the chips fall as they may.
Those four games against Clemson, MSU, Vandy, and Texas A&M could probably go either way. Auburn could win a lot of those games simply because none of those teams are particularly good, but then again it could go the other way because Auburn isn't anything special either.
Like I said before, a lot will depend on the luck of close games, and if Auburn gets that (yet again) this year, they will win most, if not all of those toss-up games. It wouldn't surprise me to see them, say, take three of the four toss-ups, beat some team like Purdue in the Outback Bowl, and end up 8-5 again. If that recedes, though, I wouldn't be surprised to see them in 6-6 territory. My point is just that I don't think the absolute bottom will fall out and you see them down around 4-8 or 5-7. Unless you're Ole Miss bad, that's just not realistic for most any team in this age.
Kinda torn here. I'm thinking 4-8 or 5-7, but that means cranking up the crop duster to go get Petrino. Not good. Of course they always luck up and win a couple they shouldn't. HTH did they beat Utah State and SC last year? Anyway that puts them at 6-6 or 7-5, which should keep the crop duster covered up.
I think it depends on the 1st 2 games. How the boogs do against Clemson without their best offensive weapon will be a sort of barometer. If Clemson can score at all, I think they will win. (I am really impressed with Taj Boyd.) I just don't think the boogs will be able to score enough points to win in this game. I think the MSU game will be close as I don't think either offense is very good. Defense will win the day here. 1st team to score 24 wins. If the boogs lose both, they are done for the year. Remember they should have lost to Utah state last year barring a last second miracle.
I do think their defense will be better, but that ain't sayin much considering they were about as bad as I have ever seen last year. Their tackling was just atrocious. On offense, most teams struggle when trying to convert back to a base pro style offense from the gimmicky spread offense. They usually just do not have the type of personel to run a power system and with the loss of the RB from Memphis, they will likely struggle to run the ball consistently. Their only hope is Frazier is the 2nd coming of Cam and I think that is highly unlikely.
Look out - Kenyan Drake can fly!