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  1. #14
    BamaNation First Team psupoop's Avatar
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    Re: Future SECCG line...

    Sagarin power differential implies 31 is spot on. Pure points predictor says the differential will be 33. I like 38-0 but imagine it will be higher if Drake runs wild late.

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  3. #15
    BamaNation All-American banjeaux's Avatar
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    Re: Future SECCG line...

    Quote Originally Posted by Ty Webb View Post
    The Auburn game has been in the mid thirties most of the year. Due to the A&M game, I suspect it will open around 30.
    For a moment, let's ignore betting lines. What's Coach Saban's red line, when will he take foot off the gas to avoid possible injuries and to give opportunity to reserves?

    When the series with AllBarn was renewed in 1948, Bama won 55 - 0. In 1957 when AllBarn won half a national championship, they beat Bama 40 - 0, with Coach "Ears" Whitworth leading from behind. I'd like to see us win by a score, between 40 & 55 to zero. How 'bout you?
    Last edited by banjeaux; November 18th, 2012 at 11:55 AM.
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  4. #16
    BamaNation All-American Nolan's Avatar
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    Re: Future SECCG line...

    Quote Originally Posted by TIDE-HSV View Post
    Have any of you betting men looked up the odds on a hypothetical Bama/UGA matchup?
    Are you a betting man, Earle?

  5. #17
    BamaNation All-American Nolan's Avatar
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    Re: Future SECCG line...

    Quote Originally Posted by deliveryman35 View Post
    Early line on the iron bowl is +31.
    Daaaang..

  6. #18
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    Re: Future SECCG line...

    Going back to the original point of the thread, if Alabama and UGA take care of business, I think the betting line for Bama/UGA will be:

    Alabama -7.5


    For a Bama ND NC game, Alabama will be favored by 12 or so, IMO.

  7. #19
    BamaNation First Team psupoop's Avatar
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    Re: Future SECCG line...

    Quote Originally Posted by Ty Webb View Post
    Going back to the original point of the thread, if Alabama and UGA take care of business, I think the betting line for Bama/UGA will be:

    Alabama -7.5


    For a Bama ND NC game, Alabama will be favored by 12 or so, IMO.
    I like the 7.5 for the SECCG but I think it will also be 7 for ND, at least initially.

  8. #20
    BamaNation All-SEC Bamafan P.T.'s Avatar
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    Re: Future SECCG line...

    Pretty sure I saw a tweet after last nights games that Sheridan said again it would be bama -10

  9. #21
    BamaNation All-SEC Tidetwin's Avatar
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    Re: Future SECCG line...

    ,
    Quote Originally Posted by Bamafan P.T. View Post
    Pretty sure I saw a tweet after last nights games that Sheridan said again it would be bama -10
    Haven't looked at the polls yet but yesterday's fortuitous chain of events puts UGA in the same position as us. Atlanta is going to be rocking and we will need to play our best to win,+10 or not. A sidenote, this state will be unlivable if UGA finds a way to beat us.

  10. #22
    BamaNation Hall of Fame GreatDanish's Avatar
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    Re: Future SECCG line...

    Quote Originally Posted by psupoop View Post
    Sagarin power differential implies 31 is spot on. Pure points predictor says the differential will be 33. I like 38-0 but imagine it will be higher if Drake runs wild late.
    sagarin has Bama at -10 over Georgia as well.

  11. #23
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    Re: Future SECCG line...

    I don't bet either but the betting lines are a good measure of the actual "ranking" of teams.

  12. #24
    BamaNation Hall of Fame B1GTide's Avatar
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    Re: Future SECCG line...

    Quote Originally Posted by day-day View Post
    I don't bet either but the betting lines are a good measure of the actual "ranking" of teams.
    Agreed - as the article linked in the other thread indicated, teams that are favored by 10 points win 70+ percent of the time. You want to be a big favorite because it generally means that you are the better team - especially this late in the season with all teams having a body of work for comparison.

  13. #25
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    Re: Future SECCG line...

    Quote Originally Posted by B1GTide View Post
    Agreed - as the article linked in the other thread indicated, teams that are favored by 10 points win 70+ percent of the time. You want to be a big favorite because it generally means that you are the better team - especially this late in the season with all teams having a body of work for comparison.
    What other thread is that? I've been looking for something that would map point spreads to % chance of winning the game.
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  14. #26
    Senior Administrator TIDE-HSV's Avatar
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    Re: Future SECCG line...

    Quote Originally Posted by Nolcbear View Post
    Are you a betting man, Earle?
    I haven't gambled since poker in college. I used it to earn spending money...
    "The cure for boredom is curiosity. There is no cure for curiosity. - Ellen Parr"

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