Oregon beating Oregon State won't help them pass over a Florida team that beats an FSU team. However, Florida will not beat Florida State. No way, no how.
If there was a Big12 championship game it would probably propel Kansas State over Oregon. Oh well.
I really think Oregon will end up playing in Miami. I'd say there's a 70% chance.
If Stanford loses to allow Oregon into the PAC12 CG, the extra game might be enough - especially since it would mean that they would be playing a 10-2 UCLA team that had just defeated Stanford. It is Oregon's shot at redemption in the eyes of the human voters.
Florida, on the other hand, is loved by the computers. If Notre Dame loses, Florida will be #1 in every computer poll.
Last edited by ALA2262; November 18th, 2012 at 08:45 PM.
Oregon doesn't need to play in the Pac12CG to play in Miami.