I believe that Alabama will beat ND on 1/7, and as long as AJ doesn't have a horrible game, his draft stock will rise accordingly. Winning back to back BCS Championships is the type on intangible that NFL teams will pay for. He is not a first rounder, which takes the pressure off the GM that picks him up. A GM could pick him in the 2nd or 3rd round and get no flack, even if he never plays.
I would say contending for the 1st pick
I know the WRs were an average group last year, but AJ needs to realize that Cooper doesn't even have to be open for him to complete a pass. Just put it up and let him go get it. I would like to see those two have another year together. Cooper will make a QB look real good if the QB will trust him to get the ball.
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Probably a 3rd or 4th round pick. Staying for his 4th year depends on whether AJ thinks that his draft stock would improve with another year in college.
He might be advised by NFL scouts that his draft status may already be maxed out and that he would be better off entering the NFL now (even as a 3rd or 4th round pick) so he can start working his way up.
You have to look at two things when it comes to drafting QB's, and seeing where they land. First is grade, and how high he would grade out in comparison to other QB's in the draft. With that, he would do alright I would assume. He has good size, decent mobility, a good (not great) arm, and a nice football IQ. I would say he is top 10 among QB's in that aspect.
Only two QB's, as of now, grade as first round picks (Geno Smith and Matt Barkley). Add in the other senior prospects who grade out as draftable (Mike Glennon 1st or 2nd round; Tyler Wilson, EJ Manuel, and Landry Jones 2nd or 3rd; Aaron Murray, Ryan Nassib, and Zac Dysert 4th or later), plus the junior currently ranked ahead of him (Logan Thomas, Tyler Bray, Derek Carr, and Bryn Renner courtesy of ESPN), and you see he would probably fall into that 8-13 range as a drafted QB. Which would fall somewhere in the 4th-7th round.
Second is need... That's whereit gets hairy, because not many teams are QB shopping this year, and there will be a trickle down effect because of it. He has little upside in leaving...
Last edited by Matt0424; December 6th, 2012 at 08:42 PM.
AJ could really use another year to further develop his fundamentals, especially his footwork and accuracy on the throws of 15-20 yards range. Right now, I would say that he's a 4-6th rounder.