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  1. #1
    BamaNation Second Team
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    Alabama Notre Dame Comparison

    Over the last 28 games. The figures for ranked opponents is comprised of teams that finished ranked in either 2010/2011, as well those who are currently ranked in 2012


    ALABAMA
    Overall Record: 25-3

    Against ranked teams: 6-3
    -Top 5: 3-2
    -Top 10: 4-3
    -Top 25: 6-3

    Against bowl teams: 14-3
    Against losing teams: 9-0
    Against FCS teams: 2-0

    Record in games decided by 7 points or less: 2-3

    Wins by at least 21 points: 20
    Wins by at least 30 points: 14
    Wins by at least 40 points: 6
    Wins by at least 50 points: 1

    NOTRE DAME
    Overall Record: 23-5

    Against ranked teams: 4-4
    -Top 5: 0-0
    -Top 10: 2-3
    -Top 25: 4-4

    Against Bowl Teams: 17-4
    Against Losing Teams: 6-1
    Aganist FCS Teams: 0-0

    Record in games decided by 7 points or less: 9-3

    Wins by at least 21 points: 8
    Wins by at least 30 points: 4
    Wins by at least 40 points: 2
    Wins by at least 50 points: 0

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  3. #2
    BamaNation All-American BAMA1979's Avatar
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    Re: Alabama Notre Dame Comparison

    Interesting breakdown.

    I had forgotten that Notre Dame won the last four games in 2010 so you could have gone back 29 games and said 24-5 for the Irish and 26-3 for Alabama, but who's counting?

  4. #3
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    Re: Alabama Notre Dame Comparison

    Btw, the three losses with 2012 TAMU, 2011 LSU, 2010 Auburn correct? Those are also all the 7 or less point losses too. The two one possession wins were 2012 LSU and 2012 UGA.

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    BamaNation Hall of Fame IH8Orange's Avatar
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    Re: Alabama Notre Dame Comparison

    So to what conclusion do these numbers lead you?

    I see that Notre Dame has played a lot of teams that are "bowl-bound" and "winning" teams, but they are apparently teams that are barely bowl-eligible and barely winning (21 bowl-bound teams, but only 8 ranked and no top-5 teams). Notre Dame (0.750) is more likely to win close games than Bama (0.400), but Notre Dame (12 of 28, 43%) is more likely to be involved in close games than Bama (5 of 28, 18%) and those close games for Notre Dame are not coming against elite competition (no games against top-5 teams) as they are for Bama (2 of 3 close losses against top-5 teams).

    So while Notre Dame is undefeated, they are also untested against elite teams. They'll see if they truly belong in the rarefied air in about 2 1/2 weeks.
    "If it feels good, then you're not doing it right" - Coach Scott Cochran

    "Sharing a conference with Nick Saban is like sharing a steak with a lion. Only one of you wins that battle. And it's not you." - Gregg Doyel

  6. #5
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    Re: Alabama Notre Dame Comparison

    Yeah, I mean Alabama has lost 3 games in that time period and the worst lost was still to a record-setting, Heisman winning QB. The other two teams were #1 teams that won the SECCG (one of them had another Heisman winner and national title). They are likely the three best teams on these combined schedules.

  7. #6
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    Re: Alabama Notre Dame Comparison

    Quote Originally Posted by IH8Orange View Post
    So to what conclusion do these numbers lead you?

    That Alabama puts it in the end zone a lot more, that is the BIGGEST difference that jumps off the page.

  8. #7
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    Re: Alabama Notre Dame Comparison

    Oddly enough, this is the first year under Saban where our redzone TD percentage has been high-quality. We struggled with cashing in on drives in 2009 and 2011. In 2009, McElroy was just abysmal down there which is what you'd expect for a guy who doesn't have a great deal of arm talent. Last year I felt it was the combination of a young QB and a smallish WR corp that hurt Alabama at times. This year the WR is a bit more developed and the QB has the arm talent and experience to make those throws. I think the TD% went up mainly because McCarron threw for more touchdowns down there. It shows up in his Alabama all-time, single-season passing TD mark and the fact that I think the goal-to-go rushing TDs stayed about constant.

  9. #8
    BamaNation All-American Nolan's Avatar
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    Re: Alabama Notre Dame Comparison

    Our red zone TD efficiency really has improved - and ND has been a shutdown D in the red area.

    Something's gotta give.
    ---------------------------------------


    "In three words I can sum up everything I've learned about life: it goes on."

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  10. #9
    BamaNation All-American trenda's Avatar
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    Re: Alabama Notre Dame Comparison

    First thing that jumps out to me is the records against top 5 teams. People can harp on the schedule all they want; but Bama's played 5 top five teams during this period (winning 3), while ND has played ZERO.

    Better record than ND vs. Top 5, Top 10 and Top 25.

    Then there's the whole record vs. teams with a losing record. Ouch . . .

    On paper, this looks like a blow out. Plain and simple. Good thing for the Irish that the game's played on the field and not on paper.

    I think the 10 point spread is about right.
    RTR


  11. #10
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    Re: Alabama Notre Dame Comparison

    Quote Originally Posted by trenda View Post

    On paper, this looks like a blow out. Plain and simple. Good thing for the Irish that the game's played on the field and not on paper.
    Ah, there will be no blow out either way UNLESS one team turms it over a lot. The game is going to be tight, and ND has a history of beating SEC teams when they were supposedly "big" underdogs.

  12. #11
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    Re: Alabama Notre Dame Comparison

    Special teams probably looms large in this game. On paper, Alabama seems to have the explosiveness edge on special teams but Alabama has had some fumble issues on special teams this year. A big fumble could be as decisive for Notre Dame as a big return for us.

  13. #12
    BamaNation Hall of Fame JBama_in_PCOLA's Avatar
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    Alabama Notre Dame Comparison

    Still see a blow out coming!
    ROLL TIDE!

  14. #13
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    Re: Alabama Notre Dame Comparison

    I hope the most confident of us are right but I see a tough win that may get stretched to two scores to cover late.

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