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  1. #1
    BamaNation Hall of Fame CajunCrimson's Avatar
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    BCS Championship Pick - Statistician's Approach

    http://www.huffingtonpost.com/paul-b...llege-football

    And then we get to the time off in preparation for this game... Nick Saban already has three national championships and is 5-3 ATS as a favorite in bowl games. Brian Kelly is 1-4 all-time ATS in bowl games and lost his only appearance in a BCS bowl with Cincinnati to Virginia Tech, 20-7, in the 2009 Orange Bowl (his undefeated Bearcats were destroyed in the 2010 Sugar Bowl by Florida after Kelly left for Notre Dame). These records and experiences do not reflect why we are picking this way, but they certainly do not hurt the argument. With the time off, it does not appear as though injuries to either side will play a role.

    In 50,000 simulations of the BCS Championship Game, Alabama wins 70.2 percent of the time and by an average score of 29.1-16.3
    "I deserve a mute supermodel who likes pasty Irish guys and loves to cook."

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  3. #2
    BamaNation All-American Matt0424's Avatar
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    Re: BCS Championship Pick - Statistician's Approach

    Sounds good to me...

  4. #3
    BamaNation All-American Go Bama's Avatar
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    Re: BCS Championship Pick - Statistician's Approach

    Spoiler. Makes sense to me. I'm still watching the game though.

  5. #4
    BamaNation Hall of Fame JBama_in_PCOLA's Avatar
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    BCS Championship Pick - Statistician's Approach

    Sounds good... It has got to translate on to the field, but I don't see why that won't happen.

  6. #5
    BamaNation All-American GP for Bama's Avatar
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    Re: BCS Championship Pick - Statistician's Approach

    Of course in 50,000 simulations Florida beat Louisville handily.
    Bama 906-317-44 73.2% On the field

    26 SEC CHAMPIONSHIPS

  7. #6
    BamaNation All-SEC Perrett4Bama's Avatar
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    Re: BCS Championship Pick - Statistician's Approach

    Quote Originally Posted by GP for Bama View Post
    Of course in 50,000 simulations Florida beat Louisville handily.
    Ouch.....
    "In the beginning God created the heavens and the earth." Genesis 1:1

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