As an Eagle Scout, I don't even care. I left and never looked back.
For better or worse, I think Scouting is one of those things that is long past its heyday. It was big in a time when we were a mostly rural society and one had to be incredibly self-sufficient and resourceful to even survive the days. It was something for kids to do that taught them. Nowadays, however, kids are on little gadgets all the time and have a speed dial to someone the moment they get in any trouble. It's sorta like the USAF needed "Tops in Blue" to go perform and do live shows on overseas bases back when: a) military pay was horrible; b) because pay was horrible there was little to do; c) the free entertainment gave something for folks to do for an evening.
We now have more leisure things than we can even fathom. Scouting is going to die and it's going to have next to nothing to do with admitting (or not admitting) gays, it's going to be because the world has changed. People used to read newspapers, too - but you can't even find one now. (When I was in Boston in April, I saw a copy of the WSJ - it was literally the first newspaper I'd seen in five years).
Change - inevitable.
And we at least had Scouts back in the early 80s who were - whatever you want to call it. Maybe they were gay, maybe they were bi, maybe they were experimenting. But we had that even then.
I can't really agree that Scouts is dieing. I was a scout, from cubs all the way through boy scouts. For me and the other guys I did it with, it was about learning how to build cool things, doing camping and adventure trips, and learning about wildlife. All with a group of friends. While I will agree that scouts probably isn't as popular today with so much tech-based entertainment out there, I don't really think that the desire to do scouting activities will die. Sure, learning how to build snares and deadfalls isn't exactly crucial knowledge anymore, but it sure is fun to do it. I think there will always be a substantial amount of boys out there who are excited to learn the things scouting has to offer.
I agree about kids and tech stuff now though. I am only just out of college, but the amount of change in what kids 10yrs younger than me spend time doing is crazy. I mean we had gameboys, but nobody had them all the time. A lot of people seem glued to their phones now, kids included. I took my brother, who is much younger than me (middle school) and some of his friends to see a movie this past weekend, and on the way there they each played some kind of phone game in the back seat. I can't stand it.
I remember talking about the "Lost Generation" of Hemingway, etc in school, and I wonder if we don't have our own lost generation today. I can't say exactly what it is, but it seems that Americans, especially men, are searching for something to define them. You talk about a growing disinterest in scout-type hobbies, yet many popular TV shows revolve around blue collar and/or outdoorsy-type jobs. We've got Dirty Jobs, some show about loggers, and gold-searching divers. Then there are the survival shows like Man vs Wild, Survivorman, the buddy survival show, the couple survival show, the naked survival show, etc. And people watch these and say "man I wish I could build a fire naked with one stick". So maybe we will see renewed interest in the outdoors.
I don't support government-planning climate change prevention schemes or think humans are a virus on the planet. But I do support conservation efforts, and maybe Scouts can channel this new environmental concern in the right direction? What will kill scouting is an effort to make it more accessible by eliminating any teaching of principles because someone somewhere claims to be offended by structure and labels. I am not talking about gay scouts but, say, modifying the scout motto or creed, or directing civic engagement only towards progressive policy ideas, such as safe firearm handling=no firearm handling, or camping is too dangerous, or hunting is wrong, or lets combine boy scouts and girl scouts, etc. When scouts ceases to be scouts, is when I think we will see scouting die, if that makes any sense.