Heading Off the Entitlement Meltdown

Tidewater

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Rob Portman said:
Each day, 10,000 baby boomers retire and begin receiving Medicare and Social Security benefits. And while five workers supported the benefits of each retiree in 1960, there will be only two workers funding each retiree by 2030. Those who dismiss long-term budget projections should re-read the last paragraph. The retirement of 77 million baby boomers into Social Security and Medicare is not a theoretical projection. Demography is destiny.
Rob Portman
Just thought this was an interesting read. Interest and "mandatory" spending will crowd out much of everything else.
Here is the CBO report.
Cue the "I think that that iceberg is going to move" crowd.
 

bamachile

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Criminy, how could anyone not know this by now? I did this math twenty five years ago. It's why I'm not counting on SSI for retirement, and why no other Baby Buster (60's child) should either. The payments in will remain (and probably grow), but the payments out will shrink dramatically. The only way to make this less painful (for the lawmakers, that is, it will be painful for the citizenry regardless) is for a strong devaluation of the dollar to occur, such as with high or hyper inflation.
 

TexasBama

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If you've paid your money in to it, it's not an entitlement. A Ponzi perhaps.

Even idiots figured this out years ago.

 
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seebell

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Thanks for the thread Tidewater. Here is an older article from the Daily Kos (many stop reading at this point :)). A few of the links in the article no longer work.

http://www.dailykos.com/story/2011/...tting-benefits-or-raising-the-retirement-age#
Because the earnings of workers in the highest income groups have grown faster than average earnings in recent decades, the share of all earnings from jobs covered by the Social Security program that were below the taxable maximum has fallen from about 91 percent in 1983 to about 83 percent in 2009.​
In short, more of the money in the economy has shifted upward, beyond the current maximum amount of earned income which is subject to FICA withholding (currently $106,800 per year).

Since unearned income such as dividends, capital gains, etc. are not at all subject to FICA (unlike actual wages) every dollar the investor class gets in the form of unearned income doesn't have a single penny withheld from it to be put into the Social Security trust fund like wages do.

From Think Progress (by now only 92 and JT are reading
:)) You can link to the Annual report of the SS Trustees.

http://thinkprogress.org/progress-report/the-state-of-social-security-and-medicare/

1. Social Security can continue to pay all promised benefits for the next two decades. As was the case in last year’s report, the Trustees continue to estimate that Social Security will be able to pay all scheduled retirement, disability, and survivorship benefits through 2033.


Yep we want some more of you rich folk's money!!
 

Tidewater

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Thanks for the thread Tidewater. Here is an older article from the Daily Kos (many stop reading at this point :)). A few of the links in the article no longer work.

http://www.dailykos.com/story/2011/...tting-benefits-or-raising-the-retirement-age#
Because the earnings of workers in the highest income groups have grown faster than average earnings in recent decades, the share of all earnings from jobs covered by the Social Security program that were below the taxable maximum has fallen from about 91 percent in 1983 to about 83 percent in 2009.​
In short, more of the money in the economy has shifted upward, beyond the current maximum amount of earned income which is subject to FICA withholding (currently $106,800 per year).

Since unearned income such as dividends, capital gains, etc. are not at all subject to FICA (unlike actual wages) every dollar the investor class gets in the form of unearned income doesn't have a single penny withheld from it to be put into the Social Security trust fund like wages do.

From Think Progress (by now only 92 and JT are reading
:)) You can link to the Annual report of the SS Trustees.

http://thinkprogress.org/progress-report/the-state-of-social-security-and-medicare/

1. Social Security can continue to pay all promised benefits for the next two decades. As was the case in last year’s report, the Trustees continue to estimate that Social Security will be able to pay all scheduled retirement, disability, and survivorship benefits through 2033.


Yep we want some more of you rich folk's money!!
I would favor eliminating the top end cap and taxing it all, I suppose.
Between Karl Rove Prescription Drug benefit, Obamacare's lack of budget neutrality, we are adding additional payments to an already threatened system. Instead of expanding benefits, it is past time to curtail them. I don't see any appetite for rolling back anything. I see statists screaming bloody murder at merely slowing the growth.
Add to this unavoidable nature of interest payments on the debt already contracted, and I see a "troubles and thorns innumerable."
 

Tide1986

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Thanks for the thread Tidewater. Here is an older article from the Daily Kos (many stop reading at this point :)). A few of the links in the article no longer work.

http://www.dailykos.com/story/2011/...tting-benefits-or-raising-the-retirement-age#
Because the earnings of workers in the highest income groups have grown faster than average earnings in recent decades, the share of all earnings from jobs covered by the Social Security program that were below the taxable maximum has fallen from about 91 percent in 1983 to about 83 percent in 2009.​
In short, more of the money in the economy has shifted upward, beyond the current maximum amount of earned income which is subject to FICA withholding (currently $106,800 per year).

Since unearned income such as dividends, capital gains, etc. are not at all subject to FICA (unlike actual wages) every dollar the investor class gets in the form of unearned income doesn't have a single penny withheld from it to be put into the Social Security trust fund like wages do.

From Think Progress (by now only 92 and JT are reading
:)) You can link to the Annual report of the SS Trustees.

http://thinkprogress.org/progress-report/the-state-of-social-security-and-medicare/

1. Social Security can continue to pay all promised benefits for the next two decades. As was the case in last year’s report, the Trustees continue to estimate that Social Security will be able to pay all scheduled retirement, disability, and survivorship benefits through 2033.


Yep we want some more of you rich folk's money!!
Do you know how your social security benefit is calculated? If so, then you understand why the tax is calculated the way it is. Calculation of the tax and calculation of your benefit are generally consistent, which admittedly is unusual for a government program.
 

Tide1986

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Apparently, this same argument doesn't work for global warming:

Finally, whenever someone warns about the supposedly unsupportable costs of entitlements decades into the future, you should ask why, exactly, it’s urgent that we solve that conjectural future problem now — and why it has any bearing at all on current fiscal issues. Don’t say that it’s obvious; it isn’t, and in fact deficit scolds bob and weave when confronted with that question.

But the deficit scolds do love their looming disaster, and they love making tough proposals that someone always involve sacrifices by the little people.
 

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