Automation is coming, no avoiding it, how will we cope?
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7Pq-S557XQU#t=72
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=7Pq-S557XQU#t=72
disagree on 2/3 of your trade examplesYah, for now, trades are the ticket for future-proof work - it'll be a long time before a robot can come ou to your house and repair your AC unit, fix your plumbing, or repair your auto. I can see white color jobs being absolutely pummeled before the trades as the costs of employment as well as the ease of transferring the data load to the machines is far easier.
Creative-based jobs (such as mine) will also be difficult to replace as so much of the work is subjective, not objective, but even my gig will eventually be replaced my machines, though I suspect that will likely be long after I've retired.
Yah, but my point is it will be years before robots replace the human entirely - replacing an AC unit isn't trivial, requires some training. Same with repairing the diagnosed transmission issue. For now, the physical aspect of those jobs will protect them from the inevitable.disagree on 2/3 of your trade examples
That's the thing though, repairs are no longer the norm. Replacement is cheaper and easier. I've had friends get new or rebuilt engines to fix oil leaks. The engine is then shipped back to germany to be rebuilt there, how does that help anyone in this country with a job?Yah, but my point is it will be years before robots replace the human entirely - replacing an AC unit isn't trivial, requires some training. Same with repairing the diagnosed transmission issue. For now, the physical aspect of those jobs will protect them from the inevitable.
I think you're still missing my point - until robots exist that can replace the entire engine, or the entire AC unit, skilled workers will be needed. Your average person can't swap out a modern engine, clear all the codes, etc., and it will be long time before robots are cheap and plentiful enough to do that work.That's the thing though, repairs are no longer the norm. Replacement is cheaper and easier. I've had friends get new or rebuilt engines to fix oil leaks. The engine is then shipped back to germany to be rebuilt there, how does that help anyone in this country with a job?
I agree.Yah, for now, trades are the ticket for future-proof work
...
that is true today, but it won't be long. I talked to the tech at my MB dealer (he is a buddy), the person who replaced the tranny in my wifes car was a barely above minimum wage 20 something kid, not a certified MB Master Tech. Put it on the lift, pull out a few bolts and mounting brackets, unplug the wires to OB2 computer, drop the old tranny slide the new one in replace the bolts and brackets and wires and tell the computer you are done. You and I with no real automotive skills could be replacing transmissions in a modern car with an afternoon of training. That is reality today. Think the Baxster unit in the video you posted could that? I do. It's simply cheaper to have a minimum wage kid do it today as they don't do enough of them to be cost effective to automate.I think you're still missing my point - until robots exist that can replace the entire engine, or the entire AC unit, skilled workers will be needed. Your average person can't swap out a modern engine, clear all the codes, etc., and it will be long time before robots are cheap and plentiful enough to do that work.
Hey now, let's not get carried away - I'm pretty good under the hood. :biggrin:tYou and I with no real automotive skills
I had been thinking more in terms of the Cylons, but that works too.We must remember the Three Laws:
1. A robot may not injure a human being or, through inaction, allow a human being to come to harm.
2. A robot must obey the orders given to it by human beings, except where such orders would conflict with the First Law.
3. A robot must protect its own existence as long as such protection does not conflict with the First or Second Law.