Unfortunately, OM owns the tiebreaker on us. Even if we were to win out (and that's far from a sure thing) we need OM to lose twice, both losses being in the SEC, just to make it to Atlanta.I expect Alabama to win out. However, we need Ole Miss to lose and Bama needs to get to Atlanta and beat Georgia. This playoff system favors conference champions--If Oregon and FSU win out they are in plus the SEC Champ. The last spot will be reserved for either a one loss Big 12 or one loss Big 10 Champion. Better be pulling for LSU this weekend. Also be pulling like crazy for Louisville on Thursday night 30 Oct. I am planning to be at the FSU vs Louisville game in person.
IF we win out -- a big if -- we'll definitely be one of the four best teams. But if OM doesn't lose twice, and barring an upset over OM in the SECCG by an SEC East team with 2+ losses, we'll be on the outside looking in.
Travesty though it would be, there's no way a one-loss Alabama team who isn't the SEC Champ gets in to the Final Four.