Nate Silver answers the question: Can Alabama afford another loss?
- Thread starter CrimsonEyeshade
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Good read. But it's too late in the year and we won't make it into the playoffs if we suffer another loss, to many other teams would be considered. TCU, Baylor, Ohio State, Miss. state, Oregon, FSU.
If we were to lose, it would be to an inferior opponent. Three loss auburn, or a multi loss sec east champion. Therefore would be no excuse for us like "well ole miss is actually pretty good"
If we were to lose, it would be to an inferior opponent. Three loss auburn, or a multi loss sec east champion. Therefore would be no excuse for us like "well ole miss is actually pretty good"
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I don't think any team that loses a game from here on out can make the playoffs, no matter who they play or how close the game. It's win every game now or try again for a championship next year.
They would likely be near the bottom of top 1-loss teams anyway. I definitely feel like they would be out of playoff contention. Ohio State, TCU, and Baylor all have better quality wins than FSU. If FSU lost now, it would either be A) to an unranked team, or B) in the ACC championship game against Georgia Tech. Seeing as they are already at #3, a loss in that game would drop them below the teams mentioned above IMO (assuming the others win out). FSU is in contention because the team hasn't lost. If that changes, they are out.
There will be no 2 loss teams in the playoffs unless the last loss occurs under extraordinary circumstances.
"It’s less clear whether the Bulldogs control their own destiny. They’ll have another chance to impress the committee when they travel to Oxford, Miss., on Nov. 29 to play No. 8 ranked Mississippi. But they probably won’t play in the SEC Championship and could be leapfrogged by a team (such as Baylor or TCU from the Big 12) that runs the table."
Does this statement make sense? Why would they leapfrog MSU due to not playing in a championship game? Which one of them will be playing in a conference championship? It is not MSU's fault that the texas 8 does not have a championship game. Oh, and by the way the texas 8 pimps already saying that if both TCU and Baylor win out they will be co-champions is really LAME.
Does this statement make sense? Why would they leapfrog MSU due to not playing in a championship game? Which one of them will be playing in a conference championship? It is not MSU's fault that the texas 8 does not have a championship game. Oh, and by the way the texas 8 pimps already saying that if both TCU and Baylor win out they will be co-champions is really LAME.
The only way we would have any remote chance of getting in with 2 losses is if Ole Miss loses this weekend to Arkansas and then beats Miss St. and we lose to Auburn. We would go to the SEC championship and would then have to beat either Missouri or UGA. I didn't read the article, so the writer may have very well addressed that scenario.
Correction, 'Bama's been in a 64-team playoff that started two weeks ago at LSU.
Lot of football, regular season and conf. championship games alike, left to be played. For example, with the Tar Heels possum-stomping the Dukies last night, it means FSU will now have to play three straight smash-mouth offensive opponents - BC, UF and Ga. Tech in the ACC champship game - before they can begin to smell a playoff berth. Thinking Charlie Strong might turn TCU into a Thanksgiving Day toad, too and same for Wisconsin goring Urban's oxen in the B1G championship game. So conceivably a 'Bama team that fell short in the SEC championship could still play for the NC with two losses.
Of course we could still lose and get in, but about 4-6 other teams would have to lose as well.
I do like was he was doing in the article, but it is a little flawed in the fact that being #3, #4, or #5 meant nothing in the old system. So people didn't give it as much thought back then.
I do like was he was doing in the article, but it is a little flawed in the fact that being #3, #4, or #5 meant nothing in the old system. So people didn't give it as much thought back then.
No. The whole reason for the existence of "The Committee" is to prevent a repeat of the 2012 NC game. They'll play the CC card and put one of the Big CCs in. The Committee won't take the chance that a two-loss non-Conference Champion might win the NC on their watch. It would totally invalidate their "conference championships matter" argument.
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