Upset Chances Remaining for the Top 7? Whatcha Think?

3-7 has very good chances of being upset. I think 1, 3, 4, 5,6,7 is on upset alert the next two weeks...

bamacon said:

With 2 Weeks to go in the regular season and then the Conference Championship Games, Which Top 7 Team Do you See As Most Likely to Trip Before the Finish Line?

Here are the remaining schedules:

1. Alabama (WCU- ha ha, Auburn, --Georgia/Missouri--)
2. Oregon (Colorado, )
3. Florida St. (Boston College, Florida, --Georgia Tech- likely--)
4. Mississippi St. (Vanderbilt, @Ole Miss, --SECCG--)
5. TCU (@Texas, Iowa St.)
6. Ohio St. (Indiana, Michigan, --Wisconsin or Minnesota--)
7. Baylor (Okie St, Texas Tech, Kansas St.)

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JustNeedMe81 said:

3-7 has very good chances of being upset. I think 1, 3, 4, 5,6,7 is on upset alert the next two weeks...

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Funny, after all we've done, we easily could have the toughest path.

Right, Exactly...

CrimsonEyeshade said:

Funny, after all we've done, we easily could have the toughest path.

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CrimsonEyeshade said:

Funny, after all we've done, we easily could have the toughest path.

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That's how it is. You've gotta add as well that Oregon has to play in the PAC12CG.

bamacon said:

With 2 Weeks to go in the regular season and then the Conference Championship Games, Which Top 7 Team Do you See As Most Likely to Trip Before the Finish Line?

Here are the remaining schedules:

1. Alabama (WCU- ha ha, Auburn, --Georgia/Missouri--)
2. Oregon (Colorado, )
3. Florida St. (Boston College, Florida, --Georgia Tech- likely--)
4. Mississippi St. (Vanderbilt, @Ole Miss, --SECCG--)
5. TCU (@Texas, Iowa St.)
6. Ohio St. (Indiana, Michigan, --Wisconsin or Minnesota--)
7. Baylor (Okie St, Texas Tech, Kansas St.)

Click to expand...

My 2 cents...

1. Always a possibility when Auburn is not dreadful. We will not have a problem with WC and should not have a problem with either UGA or Mizzoo... that being said, if we make it that far, I hope we play Mizzoo.
2. No way. The Buffs couldn't beat anybody over .500 right now or the past 6-7 years.
3. Still very possible for them to lose to any of these teams but since I hate them and want them to lose, not very likely.
4. The MissSt/OleMiss game is a tossup in my view.
5. TCU *could* lose to Texas or even Iowa St but probably not.
6. Sorry B1GTide, they've gotten much better since the start of '14, but after the VT loss at the 'shoe, Ohio State could lose to anyone. I think they have to prove everyone wrong which they are very capable of.
7. Baylor has the tougest test. I believe if they win out, they jump TCU for whatever that might be worth.

Tech beats State in the ACCCG.

theballguy said:

My 2 cents...

1. Always a possibility when Auburn is not dreadful. We will not have a problem with WC and should not have a problem with either UGA or Mizzoo... that being said, if we make it that far, I hope we play Mizzoo.
2. No way. The Buffs couldn't beat anybody over .500 right now or the past 6-7 years.
3. Still very possible for them to lose to any of these teams but since I hate them and want them to lose, not very likely.
4. The MissSt/OleMiss game is a tossup in my view.
5. TCU *could* lose to Texas or even Iowa St but probably not.
6. Sorry B1GTide, they've gotten much better since the start of '14, but after the VT loss at the 'shoe, Ohio State could lose to anyone. I think they have to prove everyone wrong which they are very capable of.
7. Baylor has the tougest test. I believe if they win out, they jump TCU for whatever that might be worth.

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Ditto on everything!

bamacon said:

With 2 Weeks to go in the regular season and then the Conference Championship Games, Which Top 7 Team Do you See As Most Likely to Trip Before the Finish Line?

Here are the remaining schedules:

1. Alabama (WCU- ha ha, Auburn, --Georgia/Missouri--)
2. Oregon (Colorado, Oregon St. --UCLA/USC winner likely but UCLA still has Stanford-- )
3. Florida St. (Boston College, Florida, --Georgia Tech--)
4. Mississippi St. (Vanderbilt, @Ole Miss, --SECCG--)
5. TCU (@Texas, Iowa St.)
6. Ohio St. (Indiana, Michigan, --Wisconsin or Minnesota--)
7. Baylor (Okie St, Texas Tech, Kansas St.)

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Interesting thing to keep in mind... If I'm picking each individual game, I'm probably picking all seven teams to win all of their remaining games. But I can say beyond any reasonable doubt that two of those seven teams will lose before the playoff teams are chosen. Any particular game would be an upset and unexpected to happen. But, this late in the year with fatigue and complacency possibly setting in, it would be an incredibly crazy thing if no upsets among these teams happened. I just can't tell which ones...

Looking back since 2005, every single year, one of the top 4 teams at this point in the season lost in the final three weeks of the year, and at least two of the top 4 teams lost most of the time (7 out of the 9 seasons). In 2007, all of the top 4 teams at this point in the season ended up losing (LSU lost to Arkansas, Kansas lost to Missouri, Oregon actually lost three times, and Oklahoma lost to Texas Tech).

It's very difficult to tell which teams will lose... But since you asked, I'll go:

1. Florida State will lose to Georgia Tech in the ACC Championship.
2. TCU will lose to Texas.
3. Baylor will lose to Kansas State.

Your final 4 will be Alabama, Oregon, Mississippi State, and Ohio State.

IMHO, there are 2 "X" factors at play here for all 7 teams:

1.How do you respond to having a target on your back.
2.How comfortable are you when the national spotlight is honed in on you?

We know that Alabama and FSU have experienced both and withstood the pressure from both things in the recent past and this year as well. The other 5 teams have either failed in this situation in the past or have never experienced it. Wouldn't surprise me if 3 or more of them lost a game.

FSU could loose two out of three. All three games will be tough outs

bamacon said:

1. Alabama (WCU- ha ha, Auburn, --Georgia/Missouri--)
2. Oregon (Colorado, Oregon St. --UCLA/USC winner likely but UCLA still has Stanford-- )
3. Florida St. (Boston College, Florida, --Georgia Tech--)
4. Mississippi St. (Vanderbilt, @Ole Miss, --SECCG--)
5. TCU (@Texas, Iowa St.)
6. Ohio St. (Indiana, Michigan, --Wisconsin or Minnesota--)
7. Baylor (Okie St, Texas Tech, Kansas St.)

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#2 and #6 win out, no doubt. Say what you will, Oregon is pretty good and OSU is playing better than they get credit for on this board.
#4 wins their two, but doesn't get to the SECCG.
#5 and #7 should win out, but are vulnerable if they play a half-step slow on the wrong Saturday.
#3 is most vulnerable of the bunch, but has better than a 50% chance.

#1 has the potential for two bruising games or two blowouts. I would be surprised at neither.

I think Bama has the most difficult path to get to the playoffs. However....Ohio State, Baylor, and Mississippi State could also go down.

I think the committee will not put a 2nd team from the SEC in the playoff if there are 1 loss champions from the other conferences. They will weight it towards the conference champion. The last thing they want to see is two teams again from the SEC. Just my opinion.

CrimsonEyeshade said:

Funny, after all we've done, we easily could have the toughest path.

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You're right. But the last 8 years has shown that the tough SEC schedule is the best preparation for Championship wins.