Pick the score: Wisconsin vs. Alabama

TrueCrimson7

All-American
Sep 21, 2014
2,719
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USA
I decided to do some late-night tallying of our Tidefans' score predictions for this game and, thus far, here is what we are predicting will happen...

Out of 88 individual predictions (including JessN's preview):

88 have picked Bama to win.
The average score prediction is 31-11.
The median score prediction is 31-10.
The most common score prediction is 27-10.
The most common Bama score prediction is 31.
The most common Wisconsin score prediction is 10.
23 predict that we hold Wisconsin to single digits.
Assuming scores of 9 and <7 means no TDs, 19 predict that Bama yields no TDs.
28 predict Bama will score 35 or more points.
44 predict Bama will win by 21 points or more.
4 are predicting a Bama shutout.


Seems like most people are quite confident in a Bama win! :)
We got just a few more points and gave up just a few more points than the average prediction, but overall I'd say the group did a pretty solid job. I, for one, would love to see this statistical analysis continue for future games. Thanks!
 

uafan4life

Hall of Fame
Mar 30, 2001
15,615
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Florence, AL
We got just a few more points and gave up just a few more points than the average prediction, but overall I'd say the group did a pretty solid job. I, for one, would love to see this statistical analysis continue for future games. Thanks!
Excluding melvinm's atrociously late prediction, here is how the Tidefans' collective (including JessN's and Phil Steele's listed predictions and the second of a couple amended picks) predicted the game would go:

Out of 104 individual predictions:


104 picked Bama to win.
The average score prediction was 31-11.
The median score prediction was 31-10.
The most common score prediction was 27-10.
The most common Bama score prediction was 27.
The most common Wisconsin score prediction was 10.
27 predicted that we would hold Wisconsin to single digits.
Assuming scores of 9 and <7 means no TDs, 23 predicted that Bama yield no TDs.
34 predicted Bama would score 35 or more points.
51 predicted Bama would win by 21 points or more.
6 predicted a Bama shutout.


So, the general consensus of a comfortable Bama win was accurate. And, truth be told, the final score was probably more indicative of the game-plan and play-calling than the difference between the two teams. Coming out overly conservative and trying to get backups a lot of meaningful snaps in the second half led to this game probably being much closer than it should have been.



As for the predictions, wille52 was the first and only user to correctly predict the final score of 35-17 - So CONGRATULATIONS WILLIE52!!! You win...

...umm, nothing. But thanks for playing!

:biggrin2:
 

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