I guess we could get really in depth in terms of breaking down various conditions.
A wet field but dry ball/little wind actually favors a downfield passing game (easier for receivers to make cuts than defenders). Then you get to the extreme where the field is just shot, which gets plain dangerous and it's the type of game that even if you win, you lose (injuries).
What I'm kind of hoping for though, is if it's going to rain anyway, it might as well be bad enough to just take the long pass/kick out of it entirely (wet ball and wind). Those are both risky propositions anyway, I suppose it might as well be that neither side can do it. The other part of that though is that if the field is bad enough, it favors north/south running (hard to make the cuts), and Alabama doesn't seem as good at that as years past.
Either way though, no matter what the conditions are, I think you do need to be able to get passes out quickly and cleanly, and the shorter passes are far less impacted by the conditions. There's just so many variables. On one hand I kind of like the idea of Alabama trying to play a somewhat conservative / disciplined / risk adverse game because of how good the defense is (basically if the other side doesn't screw things up, I think the defense will do their job), but predicting how a team is going to be able to perform in the mud is just such an unknown.
