JessN: Auburn preview: Tide tries to avoid trap at Jordan-Hare

JessN · Nov 25, 2015

Auburn preview: Tide tries to avoid trap at Jordan-Hare
by Jess Nicholas
TideFans Editor-In-Chief
November 25th, 2015 02:05 AM

By Jess Nicholas TideFans.com Editor-In-Chief Nov. 25, 2015 Alabama’s path to college football’s Final Four is clear. But even the clearest of paths can encounter an obstruction during a trip to Auburn’s Jordan-Hare Stadium. For all the talk about throwing out record books, the better team usually wins this game. Notable exceptions have been in […]

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CrimsonEyeshade · Nov 25, 2015

Would happily welcome haff-a-hunnert. Realistically expect the score you predict. Am willing to compromise and split the difference.

Et tu, AU?

bama579 · Nov 25, 2015

Another really good piece from Jess . . Thanks.

At the start of the season, only the most confirmed barners would have rated their off line better than ours, but your unit grades look right to me.

GrayTide · Nov 25, 2015

Thanks, Jess always appreciated.

mikeua69 · Nov 25, 2015

I think this game will be similar to the 2011 game in auburn. The barn had similar offensive issues that year and bama's defense is pretty similar.

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Russell31210 · Nov 25, 2015

Thanks! I really appreciate your work.

bamacon · Nov 25, 2015

Couldn't gripe about any two score win, and that's especially true in this case. Really appreciate and enjoy these write ups Jess. Roll Tide and Happy Thanksgiving.

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JBama_in_PCOLA · Nov 25, 2015

Thanks Jess. You have had another undefeated season when it comes to breakdowns.

Now that we've come to the end of he regular season I have to wonder where the time has gone. I truly believe this is a championship year. We still gotta beat AU and your breakdown plainly show that it should happen. We've got to take advantage of that secondary and not let them gain any confidence in offense.

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TideMom2Boys · Nov 25, 2015

Thanks Jess. Love the breakdowns.

mikeua69 said:
I think this game will be similar to the 2011 game in auburn. The barn had similar offensive issues that year and bama's defense is pretty similar.

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Same here. Auburn was ranked 24 in that game and they were a 4 loss team. So a decent team. We won 42-14.

RTR91 · Nov 25, 2015

Auburn has excelled at keeping pass-rushers off its quarterbacks, and the Tigers don’t have a lot of negative plays. Auburn would hold a modest edge here if not for the uncertainty surrounding Golson’s knee, but even with Golson questionable, it’s a slim Tiger advantage.

Jess, I was surprised to see this. Looked at the stats and saw Auburn's opponents average 1.45 sacks a game against Auburn. The caveat is the opponents average 2.01 sacks a game for the season.

Looking at Alabama's defense, it averages 3.45 sacks a game.

Probably won't be the sack-fest Alabama has had a few times this year, but I would suspect Jonathan Allen gets a few good licks on whichever QB is back there.

cbi1972 · Nov 25, 2015

RTR91 said:
Jess, I was surprised to see this. Looked at the stats and saw Auburn's opponents average 1.45 sacks a game against Auburn. The caveat is the opponents average 2.01 sacks a game for the season.

Looking at Alabama's defense, it averages 3.45 sacks a game.

Probably won't be the sack-fest Alabama has had a few times this year, but I would suspect Jonathan Allen gets a few good licks on whichever QB is back there.

JJ throws INTs to avoid being sacked

BubbaOne · Nov 25, 2015

Another excellent assessment.

My concern we are rated ahead in about all categories. Sounds great but that Auburn Voodoo
knowing Auburn would sell their soul to knock us off. So Saban best be ready for every conceivable
screw ball play.

Like many I just hope we can win without injury.

sanjosecrimson · Nov 25, 2015

the 2013 auburn team had Nick Marshall and a couple of good WRs ( Duke/ Coates) and a very good backfield (Tre Mason/ bruising FB Prosch and a speedster in Onterio McCalebb for those jet sweeps.)
their defense was a lot more respectable and had a healthy Lawson as a freshmen.
auburn had NC aspirations as well in 2013. that hurtful loss kept us from advancing to our 4th NC appearance in 5 years while they got to play their 2nd in 4 years!!!
our defense was not built to stop their offense at that time and Bama still should have won that game in JHS.

forward to 2015, no Marshall/Duke/ Coates/Mason/ Prosch/McCalebb. their defense is average to poor at best.
OTOH, Alabama defense might be the best in college equipped to handle any offense they see.
Special Teams has seen the greatest improvement from the beginning the year.
and of course, we have Henry who is set to break every Alabama and SEC record before its all over.

the players fully understand what is at stake and the loss in 2013 is on their mind.

if we play Alabama football ( no turnovers/ penalties) the game will not be close.

different team, same goal.

JBama_in_PCOLA · Nov 25, 2015

sanjosecrimson said:
the 2013 auburn team had Nick Marshall and a couple of good WRs ( Duke/ Coates) and a very good backfield (Tre Mason/ bruising FB Prosch and a speedster in Onterio McCalebb for those jet sweeps.)
their defense was a lot more respectable and had a healthy Lawson as a freshmen.
auburn had NC aspirations as well in 2013. that hurtful loss kept us from advancing to our 4th NC appearance in 5 years while they got to play their 2nd in 4 years!!!
our defense was not built to stop their offense at that time and Bama still should have won that game in JHS.

forward to 2015, no Marshall/Duke/ Coates/Mason/ Prosch/McCalebb. their defense is average to poor at best.
OTOH, Alabama defense might be the best in college equipped to handle any offense they see.
Special Teams has seen the greatest improvement from the beginning the year.
and of course, we have Henry who is set to break every Alabama and SEC record before its all over.

the players fully understand what is at stake and the loss in 2013 is on their mind.

if we play Alabama football ( no turnovers/ penalties) the game will not be close.

different team, same goal.

Great observation. From what Ragland is saying about the locker room, it is a lot better than what Bama had in 2013.

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