I agree.Committee results aside, IMO the four best teams by my "eyeball test": Alabama, Oklahoma, Michigan State and tOSU.
I agree.Committee results aside, IMO the four best teams by my "eyeball test": Alabama, Oklahoma, Michigan State and tOSU.
I agree, but UNC's schedule is just as bad and their loss was horrible. Right now UNC has ZERO good wins on their resume. Still, their win would be over a better team so I would lose no sleep if the committee put UNC in ahead of us after beating Clemson.Eyeball test or not the field test is what matters and tOSU failed the first serious test they had. Their schedule was horrible and they knew they'd have to run the table to get it. Or those playing Sat. I'd say Clemson is their best bet to falter. That said UNC would get in over them. They need both Bama and Clem. To lose and that ain't gonna happen.
I agree with this. The committee might go with Stanford if they win the Pac-12, but I think Ohio State only gets in if Alabama and Stanford lose. The committee will favor a conference champion over Ohio State. Ohio State will get in over USC and over Florida, but not North Carolina or Stanford.If UNC beats Clemson and we beat Florida, we move up to #1 and UNC gets in at #4. We'll play UNC first round.
In the conference championships we have:
Bama vs Florida -> Bama will win this one -- if not, we have no case for getting in and the rest of this post won't matter.
Iowa vs Michigan State -> I think Iowa wins this one but it could go either way. Whoever wins gets in. That's all there is to it.
NC vs Clemson -> Clemson should win by a TD or so.
Stanford vs USC -> Stanford should win again but it won't matter really. Stanford will not get in unless they win and maybe we lose (our game against Florida is expected to be the most lopsided) and Clemson loses. Would a two loss Pac12 champ really trump Ohio State? I'm not so sure.
Big 12: Oklahoma (champ) - they're in and won't be left out. I don't foresee a way they don't. This time I think a lack of a conference championship game helps them.
Top 4 *should* be:
- Clemson
- Bama
- Oklahoma
- Iowa/Michigan St.
However, if Clemson loses which with a TD favorite in their game against UNC, who gets in? I'm thinking Ohio State. I think even if Baylor blows Texas out -- which is somewhat likely, I don't see how they keep Baylor in front of Ohio St. Or is it that a Clemson with a close loss to #14 UNC (UNC will be ranked higher -- probably 10 or so but not higher) would still stay in front of Ohio State? Hard to tell. So, this top 4 finish in my opinion could either be intriguing based on what Clemson does. Have I missed any other scenarios? Any other opinions? I would love to hear them.
Like internet forums, it gets boring if all we talk about is what is likely to happen.IF Clemson loses to North Carolina, Alabama loses to Florida, and Michigan State beats Iowa (no way they get considered unless all three happen). Ohio State would have a decent comparison with the other 1 loss teams, and could slip back in. IMO that is a pipe dream for media to sit and fill time discussing.
True.Like internet forums, it gets boring if all we talk about is what is likely to happen.
If we're in it, I want to see Oklahoma ranked #1 after Clemsoning loses to UNC. I want Big Head, Big Game, Big Foot-in-Mouth Bob to be on TOP and Bama to be an UNDERDOG or UNDERELEPHANT! Then, I want to knock OFF Big Game, Big Foot-in-Mouth, Big Head Bob and those Later than Sooners! I want to knock them off just like they did us a few years ago! We need payback for that game as well as when the Hold the Rope Coach was here.In the conference championships we have:
Bama vs Florida -> Bama will win this one -- if not, we have no case for getting in and the rest of this post won't matter.
Iowa vs Michigan State -> I think Iowa wins this one but it could go either way. Whoever wins gets in. That's all there is to it.
NC vs Clemson -> Clemson should win by a TD or so.
Stanford vs USC -> Stanford should win again but it won't matter really. Stanford will not get in unless they win and maybe we lose (our game against Florida is expected to be the most lopsided) and Clemson loses. Would a two loss Pac12 champ really trump Ohio State? I'm not so sure.
Big 12: Oklahoma (champ) - they're in and won't be left out. I don't foresee a way they don't. This time I think a lack of a conference championship game helps them.
Top 4 *should* be:
- Clemson
- Bama
- Oklahoma
- Iowa/Michigan St.
However, if Clemson loses which with a TD favorite in their game against UNC, who gets in? I'm thinking Ohio State. I think even if Baylor blows Texas out -- which is somewhat likely, I don't see how they keep Baylor in front of Ohio St. Or is it that a Clemson with a close loss to #14 UNC (UNC will be ranked higher -- probably 10 or so but not higher) would still stay in front of Ohio State? Hard to tell. So, this top 4 finish in my opinion could either be intriguing based on what Clemson does. Have I missed any other scenarios? Any other opinions? I would love to hear them.
I think an 11-2 Stanford would give Ohio State a lot of competition for that last spot. It would prove what the committee values more. Conference championships or overall record.My feelings now are that even with a win, UNC doesn't get in. I think in that case it would shake out like this.
1. UA
2. B1G winner
3. OU
4. tOSU
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I don't think so. I remember Bama/LSU in the NC game when Bama didn't win the division, much less the conference. I could see OSU getting in before Stanford or Notre Dame. In fact, they probably should be the first team "in waiting" if Bama or Clemson falter.I think only if Clemson and We lost....and Stanford lost. I think the committee would put in a 2 loss Pac 12 champion over Ohio State. They proved last year that a conference championship is a big deal.
Do they know that? Probably.Personally, I think everyone on the committee knows tOSU is one of the top 4 teams in the country and all it would take for the Buckeyes to make the playoffs is a loss by either Bama or Clemson.
c) They have the weakest schedule, by far, of any team in the top 15.UNC is going to get screwed because A) they lost to a terrible South Carolina team and B) the committee is going to punish them for playing two FCS cupcake games.