Only one we can afford to lose is UT, and that's only because they're in the east. If we lose only to them, we still control our destiny, not just for the SECCG, but alfor the playoff.
If we go 3-1 in that stretch, and the loss is to someone other than UT, we need help to get to Atlanta, which means we need help to get into the playoff. After the hoo-hah in 2011, there's no way we get in without being SEC Champs.
I think we're better than all four of those teams. The problem is, as it always is, with the grind of the SEC. It's just numbers:
If you assume we have a 70% chance against each one of the four, that translates into a 24% chance of winning all four. In order to have a 50/50 shot at winning all four, we have to have an average chance of winning each individual game of 84%.
Just play one at a time, and keep on keeping on.
If we go 3-1 in that stretch, and the loss is to someone other than UT, we need help to get to Atlanta, which means we need help to get into the playoff. After the hoo-hah in 2011, there's no way we get in without being SEC Champs.
I think we're better than all four of those teams. The problem is, as it always is, with the grind of the SEC. It's just numbers:
If you assume we have a 70% chance against each one of the four, that translates into a 24% chance of winning all four. In order to have a 50/50 shot at winning all four, we have to have an average chance of winning each individual game of 84%.
Just play one at a time, and keep on keeping on.
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