If Saban were the kind of coach who ran up scores and left in the first string players, the spread would be more like-24. We should be fine.
Bama opens as a 17 pt favorite over A&M??????
- Thread starter melvinm
- Start date
What does Saban hate more than being buried prematurely by the press? Being crowned prematurely by the press.
Vegas is clearly a bit shell shocked after being hard pressed to find a number for Tennessee number that didn't just bring big public Bama plays.
Also, I don't know if Alabama will cover this but even I - a very pragmatic guy who tends to give our opponents a tad bit more credit that the average fan - have trouble seeing how this team won't go 12-0 right now.
Also, I don't know if Alabama will cover this but even I - a very pragmatic guy who tends to give our opponents a tad bit more credit that the average fan - have trouble seeing how this team won't go 12-0 right now.
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Still, I am sure we are going to hear the same garbage this week about aTm having a high-powered offense and how Bama has trouble defending them. Despite the facts say otherwise ;-)
I learned a long time ago never to bet on your team. Too many personal emotions to cloud your judgement. That being said, Vegas is looking for the whales from Texas to bet big bucks and drive the points down. I woulds stay 3 miles away from this game betting wise that is.
I agree with this. If our guys show up and execute, we will win handily. So the real question is, not what AM will do, but rather will our team put forth the same effort that they did yesterday?
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Yes, Saban will raise Cain this week about our mistakes and talk about how good A&M is.
Meanwhile, this type of point spread will please Sumlin because he can play the respect card that seems to motivate so many players. He will tell them that nobody thinks they can win so they shouldn't even bother showing up. You want your respect for being a top ten team? Go to Tuscaloosa and take it. Yeah, yeah, yeah, we gonna get our respect.
Therefore, I do expect a rested A&M to be ready to play and keep this game close. Of course, I also thought UT had proven to be a bunch of fighters who never quit and would give us a game. Then again, I think they will be better for the SEC title game if we meet them there due to getting some injured players back. I always try to show opposing teams respect because anything can happen on a given Saturday.
Meanwhile, this type of point spread will please Sumlin because he can play the respect card that seems to motivate so many players. He will tell them that nobody thinks they can win so they shouldn't even bother showing up. You want your respect for being a top ten team? Go to Tuscaloosa and take it. Yeah, yeah, yeah, we gonna get our respect.
Therefore, I do expect a rested A&M to be ready to play and keep this game close. Of course, I also thought UT had proven to be a bunch of fighters who never quit and would give us a game. Then again, I think they will be better for the SEC title game if we meet them there due to getting some injured players back. I always try to show opposing teams respect because anything can happen on a given Saturday.
While I do not doubt we are at least 17 points better than ATM, all things are not created equal. Namely, ATM was off this past week while we had a ballgame. Also - every single year I have some of you fans tell me the old "well, the reason we lost/almost lost to (fill in the blank) is because you can only get up for so many games a year."
Nobody here should be EXPECTING that our D will perform as well as yesterday. If you think that then the first time they bust a big play you're going to be saying, 'What's wrong with our defense' or my personal favorite 'they weren't focused on ATM this week.' I fully expect us to win, and I'm less nervous than if we'd had a knockdown drag out game with Tenn, but this is a team coming off not one but TWO SEC road games and FOUR SEC games in the last five weeks, THREE on the road.
Those games add up. The positive is that our guys know the necessity of this one in particular. If we lose this game, folks, the season is most likely over.
Remember one more thing when you evaluate ATM's stats:
Reassessed, it's even more one-sided.
Nobody here should be EXPECTING that our D will perform as well as yesterday. If you think that then the first time they bust a big play you're going to be saying, 'What's wrong with our defense' or my personal favorite 'they weren't focused on ATM this week.' I fully expect us to win, and I'm less nervous than if we'd had a knockdown drag out game with Tenn, but this is a team coming off not one but TWO SEC road games and FOUR SEC games in the last five weeks, THREE on the road.
Those games add up. The positive is that our guys know the necessity of this one in particular. If we lose this game, folks, the season is most likely over.
Remember one more thing when you evaluate ATM's stats:
Not to pick on you, but you also have to remove the Prairie View AM game from ATM's data as well. That's not even a competitor. So let me show you what you get in bold:
Reassessed, it's even more one-sided.
What's the over under on the number of mentions and video of the Oklahoma Sugar Bowl win against Bama?
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Here's another stat I'm sure they noticed:
Last week UT avg. 1 yard per rushing attempt against Bama. The week before they avg. 8 yards per against the vaunted A&M DL. I expect a very similar line of attack on offense and my guess is it very effective.
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Last week UT avg. 1 yard per rushing attempt against Bama. The week before they avg. 8 yards per against the vaunted A&M DL. I expect a very similar line of attack on offense and my guess is it very effective.
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Doesn't bother me as long as they don't bring another smuck like Manning in the booth again. That was intolerable..
aTm's defensive front 7 is much better than TN's. I have seen the stats, but they are better no matter what the stats seem to show. I'm not saying that you won't be able to run on them - just saying that it won't be as easy.
Their defensive stats look like Chavis in a nutshell...they're giving up less points than their yards conceded would indicate. That means they're getting turnovers and timely stops on their side of the field.
The offensive keys for this game are protecting the football, avoiding throwing into coverage, and high-level execution while in plus territory. They're bending a ton so you need that last little bit of execution to break them.
The offensive keys for this game are protecting the football, avoiding throwing into coverage, and high-level execution while in plus territory. They're bending a ton so you need that last little bit of execution to break them.
You'd better bet on it. Knight is one of the few college players still active who's been on the winning side against Bama...
Analyst-to-be, don't you see? "Now we got ourselves a ballgame" and "Butch is great, he's turned this program around" are as epigrammatic as any auditioner could hope for. On the QVC Recycled Ordure Channel...
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