True, but that is the case in every pre-election poll.
Surely, you acknowledge the difference between registered and likely voters, and the use of the former will skew results in favor of the Democrats. The Pew organization states, "Republicans traditionally turn out to vote in higher numbers than do Democrats."
This is weak grounds for dismissal of the Gallup data,
I am not dismissing them, just acknowledging that they contain a methodological bias. Perhaps you missed that.
This is a redundant point that adds little substance over the first one. (Although I realize that you enjoy seeing yourself type and hope to claim victory in every argument by invoking the wall of text.)
Ditto, mate.
Awesome. So since the postgraduates don't fit your worldview, you can toss them to the curb?
No, more detail is in order, but the sources do not go into the requisite granularity.
How intellectually honest and markedly predictable of you. No, I don't really give a rat's ___ what you'd expect the results of a MA/PhD breakdown to say,
Obviously you
do since you are commenting on the topic.
The reason I brought that up was that the
Christian Science Monitor story from 1992
did break down post-grad holders of MAs from holders of PhDs.
There were more of the former than the latter, thus a more significant demographic.
since your bias is well-documented in this thread. But since we don't currently have a draft, and majority of those who move on to postgraduate degrees are actually smart, despite your protestations, this point is just a laughably transparent attempt to redefine the evidence against you. Well sorry, it doesn't hold water.
Well, since PhDs make up the vast majority of the professoriat, and they tend to have a relatively long shelf-life. Many of those who earned their PhDs in the early 1970s are still teaching. Look at your department. How many of the PhDs earned their degrees in the 1970s (and thus, were in grad school during the draft-exemption era)?
So you admit that digging two decades in the past was a foolish red herring on your part? Good, that's progress.
Nope, just the most recent data on the subject I could recall. It struck me at the time (1992).
How did you even assemble those numbers?
In my haste, I included the “other party” category in the Republican number. It varied from 1.4 to 2.1%. Not significant enough to change the analysis: Democrats won HS drop-outs, HS grads, Jr College (by progressively narrow margins), lost college grads, and won post-grads, (although MA and PhD holders are not differentiated in the last category).
Here is more data from 1997-2003, this time from the Pew Research Center.
You
do trust Pew, I take it.
............1997-2000..........Post 9/11
................Rep...Dem......Rep...Dem
<HS grad....20.....39........20....36
HS Grad.....26.....34........29.....32
Some coll...30.....31........33.....30
Coll grad....35.....28........38.....27
Post-grad...29.....34........31.....33
http://people-press.org/report/?pageid=750
Once again, the trend holds. Democrats win HS drop-outs by a wide margin (almost 2-1), HS grads by a smaller margin. 1997-2000 Democrats narrowly won those with some college, but post-9/11, they lost their edge with voters with some college (a change I would wager has been reversed in 2008). In both time periods, they lost college grads, but post-9/11, the gap with post-grads narrowed.
Bottom line: different time period, same general results: with the exception of post-grads, the less educated a voter, the more likely to vote Democrat. Are you
still disputing this result?