Toggle sidebar

Betting Line Going Back towards Ole Miss

snake plissken

snake plissken

1st Team
Apr 13, 2011
579
40
47
Birmingham
Haven't bet in over 5 years, but thought this game was too good to pass up, so I got my bet in on Tuesday. Took Bama and laid 7 points, thought it would go up from there. Now some places have it at 4 1/2. Who are these people betting on Ole Miss? They must know alot more about football than me.
 
snake plissken said:
Haven't bet in over 5 years, but thought this game was too good to pass up, so I got my bet in on Tuesday. Took Bama and laid 7 points, thought it would go up from there. Now some places have it at 4 1/2. Who are these people betting on Ole Miss? They must know alot more about football than me.
Click to expand...

It's called people betting with their hearts and it's not very smart. ;)
 
It tells me that some people are concerned that Sims, though sporting gawdy stats, is untested and this is his first outing against a ranked opponent on the road. Add in all the distractions about this being the 45th anniversary to the exact day of the famous game between the two programs in 1969 and I think many have pointed to this game as a possible upset.
 
man-in-crowd-screaming.gif
 
I'd have to second the notion that uncertainty over Sims is probably driving a lot of this. If Sims is healthy, I have confidence in him, but there is some doubt there, because there's a difference between being 90% and 100%. I think he'll be fine, but that raises some doubt.

There's also a bit of concern about playing on the road, getting plays in, that sort of thing, but I think the extra week of preparation should mitigate that sort of thing. I think that gives enough cause for the people that still doubt Sims to question how he'll perform.
 
It is why most wise Bama fans don't bet on Bama. It is hard to see objectively your own team. Bama's D does not scare people like it used to. Knowledgeable fans of other teams used to think they had little chance because of the strength of Bama's D. Most I talk with this year think Bama can be had on D. That is why the line is going down. I heard a Vegas analysis that the smart money was on Ole Miss; that Bama was not as strong on the d line and shaky in the secondary. Bama fans may not agree, but that is the perception of other team's fans and people who bet. It is not Ole Miss fans driving the line down; not alone anyhow. Having said that; I think Bama covers.
 
TideWatcher said:
It is why most wise Bama fans don't bet on Bama. It is hard to see objectively your own team. Bama's D does not scare people like it used to. Knowledgeable fans of other teams used to think they had little chance because of the strength of Bama's D. Most I talk with this year think Bama can be had on D. That is why the line is going down. I heard a Vegas analysis that the smart money was on Ole Miss; that Bama was not as strong on the d line and shaky in the secondary. Bama fans may not agree, but that is the perception of other team's fans and people who bet. It is not Ole Miss fans driving the line down; not alone anyhow. Having said that; I think Bama covers.
Click to expand...

What team are they watching? Our secondary was shaky in the opening game and those issues have been addressed. Our D line is playing very well also. SMH.
 
I turned on Finebum right as Danny Sheridan came on and he said he had OM and the points (6 at the time), but before he was through with the interview he picked OM to win.
 
colbysullivan said:
What team are they watching? Our secondary was shaky in the opening game and those issues have been addressed. Our D line is playing very well also. SMH.
Click to expand...

Idk I've read several articles questioning our pass protection like it has been some kind of issue this year. I honestly don't know where they get this stuff that they criticize bama with. If anything I would say our offensive line has been better at pass blocking than run blocking most of the time.

I come away with the conclusion that these writers are just writing what they want to believe and not even watching the games.
 
deliveryman35 said:
It tells me that some people are concerned that Sims, though sporting gawdy stats, is untested and this is his first outing against a ranked opponent on the road. Add in all the distractions about this being the 45th anniversary to the exact day of the famous game between the two programs in 1969 and I think many have pointed to this game as a possible upset.
Click to expand...

I might mention that Bama won that history making game.
 
the last two years it has been the secondary, because the media is unsure of the changes made with a freshman, and a sophmore the key at corner. yes, our off line blocks well with the pass, with sims rolling out, but, our off line does not block well inside the tackles. I think the def line is better, but, losing mosely is still a problem. I think our secondary will improve with brown, and Jackson, but, it will take another game to solidify the corner. I am hoping Jackson comes in at guard and makes a difference. we have improved our kicking game a lot, and our offense is strong with lane there. miss is not good at running the ball, and inconsistent when Wallace has pressure. expect a win.
 
I agree with those who say Sims is a key to it. Our mods to a great job of keeping goofy rumors at bay, but ever since the end of the Florida game there has been all kinds of weird stuff about his health, none of it based in fact as far as I can tell. Also, people who haven't been there assume VHS is an SEC on-campus stadium providing the same crowd/home team advantage as BDS, LSU or maybe even TA&M. It's just not. That is NOT a slam at Mississippi or its fans, it's just there's a difference in an open end 60,000 seat stadium and some place like College Station or Baton Rouge. I don't worry about Sims having major issues because of it -- we may take a delay or two or have linemen move a time or two. I don't think the late money is coming in saying Alabama will lose, just that this will be a nip and tuck type of game and Alabama won't cover.

I also think people are overestimating their defense based on their stats without much consideration to who they have played. I think Mississippi has a better D than Florida, but it isn't twice as good....

Unless we let them get off to a great start offensively, I think we more than cover any of the published lines I have seen.
 
uaintn said:
I also think people are overestimating their defense based on their stats without much consideration to who they have played. I think Mississippi has a better D than Florida, but it isn't twice as good....

Unless we let them get off to a great start offensively, I think we more than cover any of the published lines I have seen.
Click to expand...

Exactly what I've been saying, too. They might be as good as advertised, but you cannot make that judgement based on who they've played so far.
 
You must log in or register to reply here.

New Posts

Advertisement

Trending content

Advertisement

Latest threads

Top Bottom
Back