Just my own thought but I feel if you’re consistently in the top 5 or so you’ll have the talent necessary to do great things.
Probably a lot of truth to that.
Recruiting really is a crap shoot.
On signing day, you are never as great as you think you are, and you are never as bad as you think.
Case in point:
The top recruit from each of the last 2 classes quit. From #1 ranked 2019, players ranked 10, 14, and 22 in the class started most of the year. Yet 5 of the top 10 red-shirted.
#5 ranked 2018, the 6th ranked player in the class was ineligible. 6 of the top 10 have barely gotten on the field except for special teams.
#1 ranked 2017 was full of studs, yet collectively 2017 and 2018 was woefully thin at ILB, and one of those quit, leading to some of the problems we had last year.
3 of the top 5 players in the #1 ranked 2016 class never played much or transferred. And #6 stayed injured for most of his career (Lewis). The #15 ranked player started as a freshman at QB. 3 star players #20 and #22 both came out early and were drafted in the first and second round as true juniors.
A few years ago we signed 5 RB's. I think 3 of them transferred. 5 stars Kendall Sheffield and Blake Barnett transferred out of the same class. All teams have similar stories.
If you are at or near the top, you've filled needs, you have a few difference makers (which you don't know yet), and you have a core group or quality men who have the attributes of a winner, you can say you have a great chance to be very successful. But that's about all.
**All ranking data based on 247 composite.