JessN: Georgia preview: Bama already had a tough task before Saban's illness

[TexasBama]

Alabama is last in the FBS in 3 and outs. Right now, we have a middle of the road Big 12 defense. If we win, it’ll be because we put up 50.

 

[Tidewater]

Jess needs no defense from me BUT ... I'm curious...

Why would y'all want to read someone who only picks the Tide to win every single time no matter what? Why would you read that? Who would you trust to give you a fair analysis (even one you disagreed with) - crimson shades dude/ette or @JessN?

Give me Jess ... EVERY. SINGLE. TIME. He knows what he's talking about, puts the energy and effort into crafting beautifully written pieces with incredible analysis and gives us a "break it down and analyze it" without the I'm-a-stupid-talking-head that we get from everybody else. I want Jess to write what he analyzes - even if everyone disagrees with him and even if Bama ends up winning or losing 100-0 - because I know he has the ability and insight the few have and can articulate it. If he picks Bama to lose (which he has rarely done) you know he will be the happiest person alive if he's wrong.

Preach it brother.
I actually like that Jess will pick Bama to lose when that's what the analysis shows.
For the record, I expect Bama to lose this, because I have seen a lot of football, and generally the better defense wins, and (unless everything since halftime at Mizzou is deceptive) that is clearly Georgia.
No one will be more pleasantly surprised than me if the Bama D shows up today, but if I had to place money on this game (thank God I don't), I would bet on Georgia to win, maybe win big.

 

[PA Tide Fan]

Since the prediction by Jess was made under the assumption that Saban would not be on the field I'm wondering if the fact that he's been cleared changes anything. With Saban 21-0 against former assistants it's a gutsy call to predict the end of the streak.

 

[B1GTide]

Since the prediction by Jess was made under the assumption that Saban would not be on the field I'm wondering if the fact that he's been cleared changes anything. With Saban 20-0 against former assistants it's a gutsy call to predict the end of the streak.

Not given the last part of his article, no.

 

[edwd58]

That pick did not age well, thank goodness.

 

[Al A Bama]

It took an EXTRA day of INTERNALIZING to get this pessimistic? JessN, what was your prediction PRIOR to the COVID-19 positive test by Coach Saban? Now, that you are pessimistic, this makes me much more OPTIMISTIC about Bama's DEFENSE. Now, based on what has occurred so far for both teams, I agree with JessN about Alabama's OFFENSE, every position, being better than the Dawgs and the Dawgs DEFENSE being better than Bama's DEFENSE. Maybe #17 will return a couple of punts or Kickoffs for TD's. Maybe the DEFENSE will FINALLY show-up. Maybe Coach Sark will have a few surprises for Jawga, Jess, et al. Maybe our Defense will stop playing COVID-19 DEFENSE. #9 missing the 1st half could hurt some. However, NEXT MAN up. I normally do NOT make a prediction, but Bama 45 Jawga 24 enters my brain. Recommendation for Coach Sark, we may need you again NEXT week, so do NOT get closer than 10 feet to THAT Jawga coach, before or after the game. Just wave at him. P. S. To Alabama's DEFENSE, JessN doesn't think very highly of you guys. It's time to prove to him and me that our DEFENSE can play SOLID DEFENSE! Remember! You are playing at HOME. Don't let Jawga come into YOUR house and embarrass you! Kick Dawg BUTT for Coach Saban!

I was sort of concerned at halftime, since Jawga already had 24 points. At halftime, I thought all the Tide needed to do was to get some interceptions or fumbles. And the Defense came through Big Time with those interceptions in the 2nd half and the offense did it's job. You know! That 45 to 24 prediction was not bad. I think BamaNation needs to send me a Script A (Crimson) Face Mask for that prediction.

Now, DogPatch, I do like to emphasize certain things. BamaNation gives me that option with the BOLD, Italics, different Colors, esp. CRIMSON, fonts, font SIZE, etc. I just make use of this AWESOME Crimson Tide site created by BamaNation. Maybe you should use this for emphasis in the future.

 

[B1GTide]

I don't expect Jess to predict an Alabama victory if he sees it another way, but here is what I saw in the article:

* He says that GA clearly wins the match-up between GA DL and Alabama's OL. That is so wrong that it has to be driven by despair. Alabama has the best OL in the country. No DL is clearly better than your OL.

* He says that the best defense usually wins. This is no longer true, and hasn't been in a number of years.

* He does not give Alabama's superior offense enough credit - not by a long shot. The team with the best QB generally wins close games, and Alabama's QB, receivers, RBs and OL are ALL better than GAs, by a long shot.

* He gives the ST to GA because they have the best kicker and punter, but Alabama's kicker is awesome and Alabama returners are so much better than GA's that it at least makes the groups a draw - especially since they have a rank amateur running their ST. To add, if their punter continues to kick his punts as he has all season, Waddle will run it down GA's throats. Seriously, that punter could be their downfall. Lots of leg, but his kicks are low and returnable if the returner stays far enough back to catch it while moving forward. He will have to decide - yardage or kick for the sidelines, away from Waddle.

Yeah, I never quote myself, but I was correct about every one of these things.

Now, I need to apologize to Golding because his halftime adjustments in that game were masterful.

 

[Al A Bama]

Yeah, I never quote myself, but I was correct about every one of these things.

Now, I need to apologize to Golding because his halftime adjustments in that game were masterful.

The only reason I quoted myself this time was because of the CRITICISM for my LOVE of EMPHASIZING Key Points. I will NOT do it again.

 

[The Ols]

I was sort of concerned at halftime, since Jawga already had 24 points. At halftime, I thought all the Tide needed to do was to get some interceptions or fumbles. And the Defense came through Big Time with those interceptions in the 2nd half and the offense did it's job. You know! That 45 to 24 prediction was not bad. I think BamaNation needs to send me a Script A (Crimson) Face Mask for that prediction.

Now, DogPatch, I do like to emphasize certain things. BamaNation gives me that option with the BOLD, Italics, different Colors, esp. CRIMSON, fonts, font SIZE, etc. I just make use of this AWESOME Crimson Tide site created by BamaNation. Maybe you should use this for emphasis in the future.

https://images.app.goo.gl/FSkxurUWriKgdARR9

 

[Evil Crimson Dragon]

Yeah, I never quote myself, but I was correct about every one of these things.

Now, I need to apologize to Golding because his halftime adjustments in that game were masterful.

Yeah, I was down on Golding..............but he proved me wrong, and I hope he keeps proving me wrong

 

[81usaf92]

Jess love this site... have always loved your analysis and you could be spot on in this one. One thing I would like to bring up and I think the game hinges on and for me it are these two questions that will answer themselves in the game. First is how good is GA defense. Stats aside, this answer depends how how good their opposition has been. Arky simply is not that potent on offense... Anyone who thinks Barney is a juggernaut on offense hasn’t watched their games, and UT while very scrappy isn’t an offensive juggernaut either. I am not sure of their offensive stats apart from the GA game (their opponents) but it’s easy to build terrific stats against inferior opponents. This game for GA will be their first big test and they have struggled against Arky and UT the first half of each game. They can afford no struggles against Our Offense. If UT scored 21 on them we would score 42 ...

How bad is our defense? Since Jeremy left for UT our defense while very talented has never looked the same. Especially with teams that do the “hurry up game”. The main reason that our DC’s are not as quick in getting our calls in leaving our D out of position prior to the snap. Even with that our D has gotten the stops needed to hand the ball back to our potent O to win the game. GA has no “fastball offense” nor are they likely to come up with one in seven days. They will line up leaving time for the defense to get set and I think that will be the difference in the game.

Unless I missed something GA has not out recruited Alabama in any of the past five years. They haven’t done too shabby and do have talented players... perhaps equal in some places but never better than. Unless the coaching is inept the talent will eventually take over in the game.

To sum up I don’t think GA is as good as their stats proclaim, nor is our D has bad as we look against OM. Different offensive philosophy will cause our defense to be in position to get the stops needed to turn this game in our favor. GA defense will spend the entire game trying to keep up with our offense.

I see the game 49 - 20 UA... Hope I am right but can also see where your analysis looks better.

RTR!!!

Damn. You were nearly on the nose with that pick.

 

[pelleas]

Felt like Jess had the first half right.

 

[LeBron47]

Damn. You were nearly on the nose with that pick.

In the first half I was trying to figure out how to edit my comments, but the defense rose to the challenge and our offense continues to soar. Hopefully the defense will improve against the run because JN was spot on as usual with his post game comments. I think DM is trying to do too much and needs to play his area and let the others take care of theirs or maybe it was just an adjustment made at the half to stop crashing the gaps. Idk but thankfully there are others who know more than I.

RTR!!!

 

[JayBama_in_PCOLA]

Damn. You were nearly on the nose with that pick.

If Coach hadn’t called the dogs off....

 

[JayBama_in_PCOLA]

Looks like Jess will be taking as long to put up his review. Take your time sir! Can’t wait to read it though.

 

[FaninLA]

Looks like Jess will be taking as long to put up his review. Take your time sir! Can’t wait to read it though.

It’s under the JessN tab on the top bar.

 

[The Ols]

Damn. You were nearly on the nose with that pick.

BlueGuitar nailed it on the head...

 

[81usaf92]

Preach it brother.
I actually like that Jess will pick Bama to lose when that's what the analysis shows.
For the record, I expect Bama to lose this, because I have seen a lot of football, and generally the better defense wins, and (unless everything since halftime at Mizzou is deceptive) that is clearly Georgia.
No one will be more pleasantly surprised than me if the Bama D shows up today, but if I had to place money on this game (thank God I don't), I would bet on Georgia to win, maybe win big.

This didn’t age well.

 

[81usaf92]

Yeah, I never quote myself, but I was correct about every one of these things.

Now, I need to apologize to Golding because his halftime adjustments in that game were masterful.

I hate to toot my own horn, but this is exactly what both of us said. I really think many are living in this world that 2012 Alabama is still the model to win national championships. No defense is stopping Alabama this year. You are going to have to outscore them. So no the “better defense” isn’t going to be the difference when we are talking about Stetson vs Mac.

I was not surprised by anything but Najee getting all of those yards.

 

[Tidewater]

This didn’t age well.

No, pleasantly surprised to see the defense play closer to their potential.
Maybe what explains the catastrophic defensive performance against Ole Miss was Lane Kiffin pulled out all the stops and threw everything he had at Bama combined with the defense peeking ahead in the schedule at Georgia and forgetting that they had to play Ole Miss first.
Anyway, pleasantly surprised at the defensive performance, especially in the second half.