KenPom projections for the next 12 games

[ALA2262]

Miss State 12 point W
Kentucky 9 point W
at Oklahoma 1 point W
LSU 7 point W
at Mizzou 3 point W
at South Carolina 7 point W
Georgia 15 point W
at A&M 10 point W
Vandy 19 point W
at Arkansas 4 point W
at Miss State 8 point W
Auburn 11 point W

 

[LA BamaCarl]

I second that! Would make a great season. Possible if team keeps playing at this level.

 

[mlingerfelt31]

What about Auburn game the finale.

 

[dayhiker]

What about Auburn game the finale.

I guess he projects 12 games out and nothing beyond. If so, that should show up after the game this weekend.

While I don't think we'll go undefeated in conference play, having a season with 2-3 losses going forward would still be beyond most all of our wildest dreams for this season.

 

[dayhiker]

@ Mizzou, @OU, and @ Arkansas seem to be the biggest threats.

 

[ALA2262]

What about Auburn game the finale.

Sorry, for some reason that did not copy and paste. And i did not notice it wasn't there.

Auburn 11 point W

 

[ALA2262]

I guess he projects 12 games out and nothing beyond. If so, that should show up after the game this weekend.

While I don't think we'll go undefeated in conference play, having a season with 2-3 losses going forward would still be beyond most all of our wildest dreams for this season.

The way this team is playing on both ends of the court, a close loss is about all an SEC opponent can hope for.

 

[TexasBama]

If we win the next two, it will be our best conference start in 65 years (Rocket 8)

 

[ALA2262]

At Oklahoma might be a tough out. If they win there, I'm thinking Final Four, and a lifetime dream come true. And I'm talking a looooong lifetime dream. I saw the aforementioned Rocket 8 play. And I can name them without looking at any roster. They were my heroes.

Dick Gunder
Jerry Harper
George Linn
Leon Marlaire
Dennis O'Shea

 

[BamaMoon]

He's projecting we finish the regular season without another loss???

IDK...running 11 SEC games plus a good OOC match with OK will be tough.

I think we'll still have some nights when we get cold from 3 land and we'll have to nickel and dime teams with dribble drive and FTs. Those games will happen and we'll probably drop a game or two along the way IMO.

Also, I'm not totally sure a loss or two would not prove to be a reminder, reset and refocus of what works the best for this team. Hard work on the boards, hustle and great defense are what has brought on this winning streak. Losing in basketball is not like football. No you don't want it, but sometimes it benefits you in a long season and helps refocus you going into a post season win or go home situation.

 

[ALA2262]

He's projecting we finish the regular season without another loss???

IDK...running 11 SEC games plus a good OOC match with OK will be tough.

I think we'll still have some nights when we get cold from 3 land and we'll have to nickel and dime teams with dribble drive and FTs. Those games will happen and we'll probably drop a game or two along the way IMO.

Also, I'm not totally sure a loss or two would not prove to be a reminder, reset and refocus of what works the best for this team. Hard work on the boards, hustle and great defense are what has brought on this winning streak. Losing in basketball is not like football. No you don't want it, but sometimes it benefits you in a long season and helps refocus you going into a post season win or go home situation.

With the way this team is playing defense those cold shooting games are going to end up 5-10 point MOVs instead of 20-30 point MOVs.

 

[TIDE-HSV]

I understand the one point projection with OU. I just don't see the 4 pt win at ARK, unless he's thinking that's our cold-shooting game. The Hogs are just not that close to us...

 

[BamaMoon]

With the way this team is playing defense those cold shooting games are going to end up 5-10 point MOVs instead of 20-30 point MOVs.

Yeah, not saying it couldn't happen, but just that it's improbable.

Also, if we were on a 19 game win-streak that might prompt even more pressure. That's why I mentioned a loss or two down the stretch might take some pressure off and reset the focus the postseason will bring.

I will say as well as we've played there's still room for improvement so I think our best basketball can still be before us!

 

[OakMtn4Bama]

Miss State 12 point W
Kentucky 9 point W
at Oklahoma 1 point W
LSU 7 point W
at Mizzou 3 point W
at South Carolina 7 point W
Georgia 15 point W
at A&M 10 point W
Vandy 19 point W
at Arkansas 4 point W
at Miss State 8 point W
Auburn 11 point W

That would make for a pretty fair year

 

[TexasBama]

At Oklahoma might be a tough out. If they win there, I'm thinking Final Four, and a lifetime dream come true. And I'm talking a looooong lifetime dream. I saw the aforementioned Rocket 8 play. And I can name them without looking at any roster. They were my heroes.

Dick Gunder
Jerry Harper
George Linn
Leon Marlaire
Dennis O'Shea

I remember the star on the floor at Foster under one of the baskets.

 

[Crimson1967]

Newton had three straight teams go 15-3 from 1973-76. It would be cool to set a new team record for SEC wins.

 

[TexasBama]

With the way this team is playing defense those cold shooting games are going to end up 5-10 point MOVs instead of 20-30 point MOVs.

We lead the conference in lowest FG% allowed and lowest 3 pt FG% allowed

 

[BAMAVILLE]

This is a good thread. Interesting that KenPom is giving us so much faith. I'm going to another breakdown for the month of Feb but I think there are at least 5 games left on the upcoming schedule that we could lose. Not saying we will, just saying these are the greatest chances for a loss:

LSU
Missou
Arky
Auburn
and one unknown SEC opponent (maybe Miss State)

For some reason, I'm thinking we have a greater chance of running Oklahoma off the court ... nothing to base it on, thinking we will just beat the breaks off them.

Even if we still lose 5, we will still be a tourney team. I just don't see us going undefeated, it's just extremely challenging to do.

Right now the only two undefeated teams in the top 25 are Gonzaga and Baylor. Between the two, the Zags have the best possibility of going undefeated in the regular season because of the teams they have left to play.

Would love for them to go undefeated, but would rather them play their best ball in the tourney. But hey, if they go undefeated and have a successful tourney run they I'll take that too

 

[BamaBooey]

 

[ALA2262]

I remember the star on the floor at Foster under one of the baskets.

Marked the spot for what was the longest FG in NCAA history for many many years. Made by George Linn at the end of the first half against UNC in 1955.