Inside the numbers: What kind of improvement can Jalen Hurts make in Year 2?
Saw this and started thinking about realistic expectations for a year 2 jump. For some reference I put McElroy's and McCarron's 1st and 2nd year stats as well as Jalen's from last year and the stats they give as goals in the article. Also, keep in mind McCarron and McElroy only played in 13-14 games while Jalen played in 15.
McElroy
Year | Cmp | Att | Cmp % | Yds | Y/A | TD | INT | QB Rating |
2009 | 198 | 325 | 60.9 | 2,508 | 8.2 | 17 | 4 | 140.5 |
2010 | 222 | 313 | 70.9 | 2,987 | 9.5 | 20 | 5 | 169.0 |
McCarron
Year | Cmp | Att | Cmp % | Yds | Y/A | TD | INT | QB Rating |
2011 | 219 | 328 | 66.8 | 2,634 | 8.0 | 16 | 5 | 147.3 |
2012 | 211 | 314 | 67.2 | 2,933 | 9.3 | 30 | 3 | 175.3 |
Hurts
Year | Cmp | Att | Cmp % | Yds | Y/A | TD | INT | QB Rating |
2016 | 240 | 382 | 62.8 | 2,780 | 7.3 | 23 | 9 | 139.1 |
2017 | ???? | ??? | 67.5 | 3,000 | 8.6* | 30** | 5 | 155.0 |
* Weirdly both McElroy and McCarron jumped exactly 1.3 y/a so I just applied the same to Jalen.
** This is just based on my assumption that we both throw more and have more big plays in the passing game which would lead to a decent jump in TDs