Looking at the stats for both this season and 2015...
On offense we have scored 70 more points this season than we scored last season going into the Championship Game. On defense we have given up 27 LESS points than we did at this point last season. That is a delta of 97 points, when comparing to the 2015 team at this same point. That is amazing...to say the least.
Now for Clemson...their offense has scored 16 points more this season than at this point last season. On the other side of the ball, their defense has given up 41 less points than last season. So that is a total of 57 points.
All of that tells me that as far as points go, Alabama is "more better" than Clemson when comparing to last year's teams...who were by all accounts fairly equal in the game. I also see that for the first time I can remember, Alabama is 10-4 against the spread. As good as we have been over the past decade, we've actually struggled to cover. The stats laid out here tell me that there is a very good chance Alabama covers the -7 point spread.
Alabama - 27
Clemson - 14