It was actually very predictable when you look at how the role of the NFL RB has changed with the newer schemes. Also TR was never a "quick twitch" runner and never had great vision. Players in HS and College just couldn't bring him down. In the NFL you have to hit the right hole and quick because they will be in position and they will stick you solid. That and going to 2 teams with HORRIBLE OLs was the kiss of death. He had chances but also had too many limitations for the pro game.
And A'Shawn by all pro accounts had an outstanding year. So did Mark Ingram.
Case in point: I remember when Robert Quinn was drafted out of UNC in 2011. He was a projected Top 5 pick, and then it came out that he had chronic knee issues as well as a brain tumor that could lead to degenerative issues down the road. STL still took him at 14, and he's only racked up 50 sacks and two Pro Bowl appearances on his way to a six year contract extension a few years ago. Despite being hampered by concussion issues this past year, the Rams obviously don't see him slowing down any time soon, so I'm not entirely sure how much stock the NFL puts in injury "potential."
Which is just non-sensical to me. Ok, so on one hand, I've got a mature product that's ready to go right off the assembly line and perform at optimized levels. On the other, I've got an immature product, that is going to require some assembly, and once assembled and ready to perform will then perform at that same optimized level.
Allen fell because some teams think he will have a short career because of his shoulders. I don't really understand why Rueben fell THAT far but my guess is there is either an off the field concern or some injury we don't know about. I am realllly surprised OJ fell to the Bucs but he fits perfectly there (I'm going to draft him in fantasy for sure). CamRob falling is a little surprising to me. I guess most teams must see him as a RT or G and just don't think he will be ready to start at LT right away.
Cam is going to be a RT in the NFL. He might work his way into being a LT if the situation is right, but most expect him at RT if not G.
There is big money involved but even bigger EGOs!! I agree completely with your assessment of who you should pick. Unfortunately, the vast majority of the NFL doesn't operate that way. Have you ever wondered why the same handful of 5-8 teams are very competitive year in and year out? They are always picking 25-32nd in each round so how can they keep outperforming all the others with all the parity in the NFL? It's because the teams that struggle during the season try to hit grandslams with every pick and they are trying to go for the "what if" players and the "high potential" players thinking they could turn their team around. While that's happening those same teams playing in the playoffs every year and picking at the tail end of the rounds are loading up on known commodities and proven talent much more consistently than the other teams trying to make every pick some surprise pick. They are always trying to show they are smarter than everyone else. As someone said. They are overthinking it every year and always expecting the best possible results rather than saying what is this guys basement? Not his ceiling.
Cam Robinson fell because of all the false starts and other penalties he would get every game. IMO I use to think he was a top 10 pick.
Yea, and he has some clear flaws. I just expected teams to ignore them and draft him in the 1st anyway. He is just too physically gifted and worst case scenario you move him to G and he is quickly one of the better Gs in the NFL. It's going to be fun for Fournette to get to run behind him.
Regardless he is still a 2nd round pick and will certainly make the team. That for sure cost him a lot of money but he will have a chance to make more of he pans out.
