Thought Experiment: Hypothetical gun control case study in Maryland

uafan4life

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Mar 30, 2001
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Ok, for this thought experiment, let's say that these are the parameters for the hypothetical case study:

A. 90%+ percent of residents who voted in a special referendum have voted to participate in this case study.
B. All firearms will be made illegal in Maryland for a period of 5 years and 6 months.
C. The firearms ban will be evaluated after 5 years for potential renewal via referendum.
D. All residents will temporarily surrender their weapons, to be returned upon the expiration of the ban or if they leave the State.
E. Police and military forces will canvas the State, collecting residents' surrendered weapons while searching for and confiscating all illegal firearms in the State, within the first three months - after which the additional military forces will return to their previous assignments.

For any potential parameters not covered above, assume whatever approach you believe the State and/or Federal Government would take in the best interest of the safety of its citizens within the given parameters for the case study.


So, thinking over this hypothetical situation, here are the questions for you to consider.

After 5 years, what do you honestly believe will have been the relative effect on...
1. gun crime/violence in the State?
2. overall crime/violence in the State?
3. the murder rate in the State?
4. overall theft/burglary in the State?
5. home invasions/burglary in the State?
 

crimsonaudio

Administrator
Staff member
Sep 9, 2002
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Succinct answer - look at Washington DC, which until recently had the strictest gun control laws in the country. It was virtually impossible to legally own a firearm, yet the crime / murder rate was among the highest in the US.

Also: https://mises.org/blog/gun-control-fails-what-happened-england-ireland-and-canada

And more: https://www.washingtonpost.com/news...ited-states-heres-why/?utm_term=.c2d5734072f5

People love to pounce on these mass shootings in order to leverage them for more control, but the number don't lie - you have less chance of dying via gun violence in the US in 2017 than in the previous few decades...
 

uafan4life

Hall of Fame
Mar 30, 2001
15,615
7,449
287
43
Florence, AL
Succinct answer - look at Washington DC, which until recently had the strictest gun control laws in the country. It was virtually impossible to legally own a firearm, yet the crime / murder rate was among the highest in the US.

Also: https://mises.org/blog/gun-control-fails-what-happened-england-ireland-and-canada

And more: https://www.washingtonpost.com/news...ited-states-heres-why/?utm_term=.c2d5734072f5

People love to pounce on these mass shootings in order to leverage them for more control, but the number don't lie - you have less chance of dying via gun violence in the US in 2017 than in the previous few decades...
I was hoping for more specific replies, like up 5% here, down 10% there, up 15% over here, etc. :)
 

willie52

All-American
Jan 25, 2008
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Arab, AL
Questions 1 and 3, down slightly, maybe 5%. Questions 2, 4, and 5, significant increase, up 10% because only the criminals have guns and are now unafraid plus now the government has all your guns and then tells you too bad they're keeping them.
 

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