Needing to be talked off the ledge here! (he's scared of auburn)
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  1. #1
    BamaNation First Team
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    Needing to be talked off the ledge here! (he's scared of auburn)

    I really need you guys to talk me down. After last night’s lackluster performance by the defense I have my doubts we can hang in there with aubie, much less make a playoff and national championship run. Y’all please tell me I’m overreacting!!!

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  3. #2
    BamaNation Hall of Fame AUDub's Avatar
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    Re: Needing to be talked off the edge here!

    Just a barner.

    Auburn beat Georgia worse than General Sherman

  4. #3
    BamaNation Second Team FloridanBlogger's Avatar
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    Re: Needing to be talked off the edge here!

    At the end of the day, it's just a football game played by 18 year old kids.

    Don't get me wrong, realistically this is the first game in a very long time I'm not expecting Bama to walk out a winner either. But win or lose, I love UA and wouldn't trade my fandom for any other college. My love for the university is far greater than any win/loss could ever top.

    My grandfather always told me as a child "Son, you can't win them all" and although we are programmed to believe we will win them all, sometimes it goes the other way.

  5. #4
    BamaNation First Team danb's Avatar
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    Re: Needing to be talked off the edge here!

    Relax.... while we have had the injury bug hit us pretty hard on defense, they have usually stepped it up when it counts.

    The main thing to think about at the end of the day is this. We have a group of young men that are winners.... Especially the young man behind center. They have shown to everyone they can take a punch and get knocked back, and come right back dishing it out harder. If you remember coach Sabans only undefeated NC team had a few nail biter games on the road to that championship too!


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  6. #5
    BamaNation Hall of Fame CajunCrimson's Avatar
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    Re: Needing to be talked off the edge here!

    Auburn is most dangerous when they aren’t in the spotlight. They are the darlings at the moment... from a psychological standpoint this is the best we could have hoped for.

    People are doubting our team for the first time all year. They are treating a 7 pt win as if it were a 30 point loss. tOSU gets pistol whipped by Iowa. But because they blow out Michigan State I’ve actually heard that they are playing better football “right now” than Bama.

    It’s all clutter....

    This is where we wanted to be. Something on the line, something to play for, against your rival. Who also has something to play for....

    It may not be easy.....but dang, get away from the ledge.
    Doc Holliday: [to Johnny Ringo, after shooting him in a duel] You're no daisy! You're no daisy at all. Poor soul, you were just too high strung

  7. #6
    BamaNation All-American AlexanderFan's Avatar
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    Re: Needing to be talked off the edge here!

    Do us a favor and jump.


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    BamaNation Hall of Fame selmaborntidefan's Avatar
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    Re: Needing to be talked off the edge here!

    Quote Originally Posted by uofaJO1987 View Post
    I really need you guys to talk me down. After last night’s lackluster performance by the defense I have my doubts we can hang in there with aubie, much less make a playoff and national championship run. Y’all please tell me I’m overreacting!!!

    Here's how I get you down.




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  9. #8
    BamaNation Hall of Fame B1GTide's Avatar
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    Re: Needing to be talked off the edge here!

    First, understand that your defensive game plan against MSU was vastly different than the game plan that you will have for AU. You did not attack the offense because you were worried about their QB's rushing game - he was the best RB on their team, and you played "safe" because of that. Against Auburn, you will get back to blitzing and attacking the LOS.

    Second, your team was exhausted after the LSU game. It will be well rested for Auburn.

    Third, You had only one week to prepare for MSU after losing both ILBs in the LSU game. You will have another 2 weeks to prepare for Auburn without those guys.

    Finally, you won't have to worry about any "rat poison" over the next 2 weeks. Everyone will be picking Auburn in that game. That is going to get this Alabama team fired up, and I just can't see you guys losing a game like this when you are totally focused in your preparation.

    I think that Alabama will win by 20+ points.

  10. #9
    BamaNation Hall of Fame Redwood Forrest's Avatar
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    Re: Needing to be talked off the edge here!

    Quote Originally Posted by uofaJO1987 View Post
    I really need you guys to talk me down. After last night’s lackluster performance by the defense I have my doubts we can hang in there with aubie, much less make a playoff and national championship run. Y’all please tell me I’m overreacting!!!
    Kum Ba Yah. All is well. I am O.K. You are O.K. We are O.K.
    I do not believe in atheists, therefore they do not exist.

  11. #10
    BamaNation All-American rolltide_21's Avatar
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    Re: Needing to be talked off the edge here!

    Here’s the thing about Gus’s AU teams- punch them in the mouth they’ll quit. See the LSU and Clemson games. If we do offensively what we did in the fourth quarter vs. MSU we’ll be fine. The game will be on the shoulders of our offense. And, I’m good with that. Contrary to what is posted here by some, they’ve performed well all year. We’re much improved from a year ago. NOTs masked some of our offensive problems and made it seem we were better than we actually were. We don’t have that this year. The MSU game proved we can win it by scoring if need be. I’m not concerned.


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  12. #11
    BamaNation Hall of Fame selmaborntidefan's Avatar
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    Re: Needing to be talked off the edge here!

    Quote Originally Posted by uofaJO1987 View Post
    I really need you guys to talk me down. After last night’s lackluster performance by the defense I have my doubts we can hang in there with aubie, much less make a playoff and national championship run. Y’all please tell me I’m overreacting!!!

    Lackluster?


    State averaged 428 ypg coming in and we held them to 330.

    They average 33.9 ppg and we held them to 24.

    They average 259 yards rushing and we held them to 172.

    They average holding the ball 32 minutes per game so their ball control offense was nothing new.

    MSU gives up 124 yards per game rushing, we had 202. They give up 18 ppg, we had 31.

    They surrender a total of 289 ypg and we had nearly 450.



    Now there are, of course, mirror statistics.


    Our defense gives up 9.8 ppg and surrendered 24.
    We give up 75 yards per game rushing and surrendered more than twice that.



    If I had time to sit down and cut out the 'fuzzy stats' that skew data (e.g. cupcake games with skewed stats), I would arrive at what I call the "corrected average performance." But let's just for time's sake look at the UNCORRECTED AVERAGE, because it's usually more slanted against performance.


    Mississippi State averages 38 ppg and we give up 9.8 so and UNCORRECTED AVERAGE performance would suggest MSU would score 24.35 points per game, meaning an AVERAGE performance by BOTH the MSU offense and the Tide defense would give State 24.35 points. In fact, they scored 24 points. These data
    are slightly skewed by the 106 points MSU got in their first two games against nobodies, so just guesstimating I'd say an AVERAGE performance corrected
    would probably net 20 points.

    MSU gives up 18 ppg, also slightly skewed by the first two games, so I'll deduct those because one is a shutout, which just means I have to divide by a lower number. MSU's CORRECTED average then would be they give up 23.5 ppg in an AVERAGE performance. We average 40.9 ppg (seriously, we have the #8 offense in the country) and they give up 23.5, so an AVERAGE performance would net 32.2 points in a game. (It's kind of pointless to take out the cupcakes for us because we average almost 41 ppg and had 41 ppg in both the CSU and Fresno games - plus, to what degree are they cupcakes compared to State's opener?)



    So this would mean an AVERAGE performance by BOTH teams would give us this final score:
    Alabama 32
    Miss St 24


    What was the final score of the game again?



    Now keep in mind that I had no idea when I began this post what the numbers would show. But the NUMBERS (and yes, they CAN be misleading sometimes before anyone argues that) show that both teams basically played the sum total expected average for BOTH teams and the results bear that out.

    Of course, statistics DON'T show problems. State got seven points because of the leaping penalty, a circumstance that also likely elevated State's overall performance on offense for the game while lowering our D's performance.



    On average, your average performances are going to be average.


    Average WAS, in fact, good enough to beat Miss State. We didn't hold them well below par, but we didn't give up a lot above it, either. The reason our numbers are so low (9.8 ppg) is because MOST OF THE TIME we play WELL ABOVE AVERAGE.


    So Saturday was not lackluster, it was the expected norm based on the combined data of both teams thus far this year. This data is meaningless in September as teams find their rhythm; it becomes more useful over the course of a season.
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  13. #12
    BamaNation All-SEC BradtheImpaler's Avatar
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    Re: Needing to be talked off the edge here!

    First of all, the game we "lost" on Saturday... we actually won. At the end of the game, we held an advantage in yards passing, yards rushing, and most importantly, points scored. Yes, they dominated time of possession, but they also patiently bled the clock, until they got nervous at the end, in an effort to shorten the game. Gus Malzahn's DNA won't allow him to do that. Stidham is a bit of a statue, so we don't have to worry about him gashing us like Fitzgerald.
    "In the second quarter, I saw Torretta look over at me, and he froze for a second. I saw fear."
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  14. #13
    BamaNation All-American Tide&True's Avatar
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    Re: Needing to be talked off the edge here!

    Quote Originally Posted by B1GTide View Post
    First, understand that your defensive game plan against MSU was vastly different than the game plan that you will have for AU. You did not attack the offense because you were worried about their QB's rushing game - he was the best RB on their team, and you played "safe" because of that. Against Auburn, you will get back to blitzing and attacking the LOS.

    Second, your team was exhausted after the LSU game. It will be well rested for Auburn.

    Third, You had only one week to prepare for MSU after losing both ILBs in the LSU game. You will have another 2 weeks to prepare for Auburn without those guys.

    Finally, you won't have to worry about any "rat poison" over the next 2 weeks. Everyone will be picking Auburn in that game. That is going to get this Alabama team fired up, and I just can't see you guys losing a game like this when you are totally focused in your preparation.

    I think that Alabama will win by 20+ points.
    Very good analysis B1GTide


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