Re: Week 11 College Football Playoff rankings. Alabama in familiar spot at number 1!
We were discussing this in one of Selma's member berries threads, but it really belongs here. Where does OSU stand? Some consider them a long shot, whereas I do not. Of course they are far from a lock, and I won't be shocked if they don't make it in. But while they do badly in human polls, they are lingering close to the top of various metrics. They are fifth right now on Sagarin's computer rankings. I was poking around and saw they are second (second!) in ESPN's FPI, which is their objective measure of team strength. (note, this is last week's FPI)
Notice they are fairly far ahead of third place.
As with the Sagarin rankings, so here, take it with a grain of salt. And yet, there has to be something behind these mathematical metrics.
Meanwhile Miami is still undefeated but down at 12! If OSU wins out there are going to be some numbers people on that committee who argue they are the "better" team than Miami.
We were discussing this in one of Selma's member berries threads, but it really belongs here. Where does OSU stand? Some consider them a long shot, whereas I do not. Of course they are far from a lock, and I won't be shocked if they don't make it in. But while they do badly in human polls, they are lingering close to the top of various metrics. They are fifth right now on Sagarin's computer rankings. I was poking around and saw they are second (second!) in ESPN's FPI, which is their objective measure of team strength. (note, this is last week's FPI)
RK | TEAM | W-L | PROJ W-L | WIN OUT% | CONF WIN% | REM SOS RK | FPI |
1 | Alabama, SEC | 10-0 | 12.0 - 0.6 | 40.3 | 40.5 | 52 | 28.5 |
2 | OSU, Big Ten | 8-2 | 10.5 - 2.5 | 53.8 | 67.9 | 40 | 26.1 |
3 | Penn State, Big Ten | 8-2 | 9.9 - 2.1 | 91.7 | 0.0 | 78 | 23.5 |
4 | Clemson, ACC | 9-1 | 11.5 - 1.5 | 55.1 | 66.3 | 55 | 23.0 |
5 | Auburn, SEC | 8-2 | 9.6 - 2.8 | 21.3 | 21.5 | 46 | 22.7 |
6 | Washington, Pac-12 | 8-2 | 9.9 - 2.2 | 78.0 | 7.0 | 43 | 22.6 |
7 | Georgia, SEC | 9-1 | 11.1 - 1.9 | 26.4 | 38.0 | 20 | 21.9 |
8 | Oklahoma, Big 12 | 9-1 | 11.5 - 1.5 | 52.6 | 60.1 | 56 | 20.9 |
9 | Notre Dame, FBS Indep. | 8-2 | 9.4 - 2.6 | 46.8 | -- | 35 | 20.6 |
10 | Wisconsin, Big Ten | 10-0 | 12.0 - 1.0 | 21.3 | 32.0 | 17 | 20.0 |
11 | Oklahoma State, Big 12 | 8-2 | 9.9 - 2.3 | 68.8 | 11.0 | 82 | 17.6 |
12 | Miami, ACC | 9-0 | 11.1 - 0.9 | 27.0 | 33.7 | 41 | 17.5 |
13 | TCU, Big 12 | 8-2 | 10.0 - 2.8 | 27.1 | 28.7 | 42 | 17.1 |
Notice they are fairly far ahead of third place.
As with the Sagarin rankings, so here, take it with a grain of salt. And yet, there has to be something behind these mathematical metrics.
Meanwhile Miami is still undefeated but down at 12! If OSU wins out there are going to be some numbers people on that committee who argue they are the "better" team than Miami.