Bill Connelly gives us his (S&P) preseason rankings for 2018 with Alabama, Auburn and Georgia all in the top ten.
https://www.sbnation.com/college-fo...86/2018-college-football-rankings-projections
I love stats and I keep busy with them. It is a lot of work but I enjoy it better than TV. Plus it is fun.
In 2015 my stat system (R&R) beat all the polls in picking conference champions. In 2016 they dipped down to finish 4th. In 2017 they rebounded to finish 1st again. I tweak them each year so who knows about this coming season, though that changes little -- I guess that is why it is called "tweaking."
In 2017 R&R picked 7 or the 10 Power Five Championship teams while most others picked 6 of the 10. R&R picked all 128 teams regular season and beat both SBN and Phil Steele. It was close but R&R beat 'em. For a boy raised on a farm I thought that was awesome, although Bill and Phil might have been raised on a farm too, for all I know.
Lasy year's conference championship game pickens were: Street & Smith 4-6. Phil Steele, USA/Today Coaches Poll and Massey Computer all at 5-5. Athlon, Lindy's, Sporting News, AP, S&P and Sagarin at 6-10. R&R picked 7 of the 10 correctly. R&R had FSU/Miami, Ohio St/Wisconsin, Oklahoma/Texas, USC/Stanford and Alabama/Georgia. I missed on FSU, Texas and Alabama.
For 2018 the predictions from the two I have seen are:
S&P has the five CG as:.... Clemson/Miami, Ohio St/Wisconsin, Alabama/Georgia, Stanford/ USC and Oklahoma/Okla St with the favorite listed first.
R&R has the five CG as:........... FSU/Miami, Ohio St/Nebraska, Alabama/Georgia, USC/Stanford and Oklahoma/Texas with the favorite listed first.
I don't agree with my stats on FSU or Nebraska but that is what they predict, so I will respectfully disagree with myself.
https://www.sbnation.com/college-fo...86/2018-college-football-rankings-projections
I love stats and I keep busy with them. It is a lot of work but I enjoy it better than TV. Plus it is fun.
In 2015 my stat system (R&R) beat all the polls in picking conference champions. In 2016 they dipped down to finish 4th. In 2017 they rebounded to finish 1st again. I tweak them each year so who knows about this coming season, though that changes little -- I guess that is why it is called "tweaking."
In 2017 R&R picked 7 or the 10 Power Five Championship teams while most others picked 6 of the 10. R&R picked all 128 teams regular season and beat both SBN and Phil Steele. It was close but R&R beat 'em. For a boy raised on a farm I thought that was awesome, although Bill and Phil might have been raised on a farm too, for all I know.
Lasy year's conference championship game pickens were: Street & Smith 4-6. Phil Steele, USA/Today Coaches Poll and Massey Computer all at 5-5. Athlon, Lindy's, Sporting News, AP, S&P and Sagarin at 6-10. R&R picked 7 of the 10 correctly. R&R had FSU/Miami, Ohio St/Wisconsin, Oklahoma/Texas, USC/Stanford and Alabama/Georgia. I missed on FSU, Texas and Alabama.
For 2018 the predictions from the two I have seen are:
S&P has the five CG as:.... Clemson/Miami, Ohio St/Wisconsin, Alabama/Georgia, Stanford/ USC and Oklahoma/Okla St with the favorite listed first.
R&R has the five CG as:........... FSU/Miami, Ohio St/Nebraska, Alabama/Georgia, USC/Stanford and Oklahoma/Texas with the favorite listed first.
I don't agree with my stats on FSU or Nebraska but that is what they predict, so I will respectfully disagree with myself.