Predict Bama player production!

Tua - 28-6, 3200 yds.
Jalen - 5-0, 250 yds. - 350 yds. rushing
Mac - tbd if JH stays
Damien - 170 attemps, 1300 yards
Najee - 120 attemps, 900 yards
Josh - 50, 250
Brian Robinson - 75, 450
JJ - 50 catches, 800 yards
Devont'a - 50, 700
Ruggs - 55, 700

Anybody want to guess what I'm loosely basing this on?

CoachJeff said:

It's May. Long way to go until the season and even longer for it to be over. So let's make some predictions.

Give me what your best guesses are for yards, TDs, TOs, etc for the following guys and let's see how accurate we get:

Tua
Jalen
Mac
Damien
Najee
Josh
Brian Robinson
JJ
Devont'a
Ruggs

Click to expand...

Not a direct response to your question but Stephen M. Smith had some thoughts on five additional players to watch in his Touchdown Alabama podcast yesterday. https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=rSDF0-sJIf0

CoachJeff said:

It's May. Long way to go until the season and even longer for it to be over. So let's make some predictions.

Give me what your best guesses are for yards, TDs, TOs, etc for the following guys and let's see how accurate we get:

Click to expand...

Tua - 3,465 yards passing 50 TD's 9INT's 600 yards rushing 10 TD's (Heisman Winner)
Jalen - 250 yards passing 3TD's 0INT's 300 yards rushing
Mac - ???

Damien - 1,332 yards rushing 15 TD's
Najee - 910 yards rushing 10 TD's
Josh 200 yards rushing 1TD
Brian Robinson 400 yards rushing 5TD's

JJ 60 Rec's for 1,122 yards 13 TD's
Devont'a 50 Rec's for 1,000 yards 12 TD's
Ruggs - 65 Rec's for 1,237 yards 20 TD's

tusks_n_raider said:

Tua - 3,465 yards passing 50 TD's 9INT's 600 yards rushing 10 TD's (Heisman Winner)
Jalen - 250 yards passing 3TD's 0INT's 300 yards rushing
Mac - ???

Damien - 1,332 yards rushing 15 TD's
Najee - 910 yards rushing 10 TD's
Josh 200 yards rushing 1TD
Brian Robinson 400 yards rushing 5TD's

JJ 60 Rec's for 1,122 yards 13 TD's
Devont'a 50 Rec's for 1,000 yards 12 TD's
Ruggs - 65 Rec's for 1,237 yards 20 TD's

Click to expand...

You're going a little higher on Tua's passing yards and receiver's receptions and yards than me. I think your numbers are possible but a little high because I think Tua and company will only see action for about 2.5 - 3 quarters for about 8 of our games.

This may translate into a few more running back touches, but as the blowout games go on CNS typically likes for his OC to start being more conservative on dynamic/chunk type plays.

BamaMoon said:

You're going a little higher on Tua's passing yards and receiver's receptions and yards than me. I think your numbers are possible but a little high because I think Tua and company will only see action for about 2.5 - 3 quarters for about 8 of our games.

This may translate into a few more running back touches, but as the blowout games go on CNS typically likes for his OC to start being more conservative on dynamic/chunk type plays.

Click to expand...

I tried to estimate Tua's Attempts based on CNS history with a trusted Gunslinger. I think he will let Tua sling it around 350 times over 15 games.... add that Tua averages 9.9 YPA and that's how I arrived at the near 3,500 yards.

Same with the TD's.... he throws a TD every 7 Att's so for 350 that would be 50 TD's.

It might be a tad high in reality though. If I had to be more conservative I'd say he still throws for at least 3,200 and 45 TD's

On the WR's I used their YPC avg to kind of guess those....

I slanted the TD's more in Ruggs III's favor because he just has a nose for the Endzone and he a Tua seem to have a good connection. Ruggs III might be a Biletnikoff darkhorse contender.

tusks_n_raider said:

Tua - 3,465 yards passing 50 TD's 9INT's 600 yards rushing 10 TD's (Heisman Winner)
Jalen - 250 yards passing 3TD's 0INT's 300 yards rushing
Mac - ???

Damien - 1,332 yards rushing 15 TD's
Najee - 910 yards rushing 10 TD's
Josh 200 yards rushing 1TD
Brian Robinson 400 yards rushing 5TD's

JJ 60 Rec's for 1,122 yards 13 TD's
Devont'a 50 Rec's for 1,000 yards 12 TD's
Ruggs - 65 Rec's for 1,237 yards 20 TD's

Click to expand...

I'll have some of what you're having! :biggrin2:

tusks_n_raider said:

Tua - 3,465 yards passing 50 TD's 9INT's 600 yards rushing 10 TD's (Heisman Winner)
Jalen - 250 yards passing 3TD's 0INT's 300 yards rushing
Mac - ???

Damien - 1,332 yards rushing 15 TD's
Najee - 910 yards rushing 10 TD's
Josh 200 yards rushing 1TD
Brian Robinson 400 yards rushing 5TD's

JJ 60 Rec's for 1,122 yards 13 TD's
Devont'a 50 Rec's for 1,000 yards 12 TD's
Ruggs - 65 Rec's for 1,237 yards 20 TD's

Click to expand...

Lol someone is gumping pretty hard on that passing game. All 3 WRs going over 1,000 yards and 10 TDs!

CNS just saw Coker and Jalen throw 8INT's each in back to back years with nowhere near the TD-INT ratio Tua has....

I just expect Tua will go put his arm around CNS after a Pick and say "My bad Coach that's on me.." and then go back out and lead a few more TD drives to make up for it....lol

tusks_n_raider said:

CNS just saw Coker and Jalen throw 8INT's each in back to back years with nowhere near the TD-INT ratio Tua has....

I just expect Tua will go put his arm around CNS after a Pick and say "My bad Coach that's on me.." and then go back out and lead a few more TD drives to make up for it....lol

Click to expand...

I'd take 5 to 1 td/int ratio all day long and twice on Sunday. FWIW, I doubt he'll throw 9 ints even if he throws 50 tds.

I'm about 4.5 to 1 on my prediction, but I think anything around 3-4 to 1 is acceptable.