Tua's still the front runner for the Heisman. He will 'likely' do some 'repair' work on his Season stats in the Citadel game -- IE: Go 8/8, 9/10 or something similar for a couple hundred yards or so and a few TD's. Something to help bring his Average QBR up some, Efficiency up some, COMP percentage, total TD's, TD/INT ratio and so on.
But here's the bottom line with the Heisman race. It's Tua's to lose. Basically as long as Tua continues to START for Alabama and Alabama doesn't LOSE -- Tua wins. Even with 66-67% games (as we only have 2 left).
Some people don't realize the Heisman trophy is A LOT more than just stats,.. it's emotionally driven, it's who has been talked about the most,.. who is the most charming in front of the cameras, the most likeable, who is on the team with the least losses (BIG ONE),.. Is anyone in the running on a team headed to the playoffs? Who is on the Highest ranked team?
Also, Tua's Heisman campaign (sort of unfairly) started last season (but this year) when he came off the bench to carry Bama to win the NC Game. People can deny it all they want, but 870 of the voters are media members and they are going to vote off of what the FEEL combined with who has looked impressive etc. That is Tua.. Tua has been locked into the majority of voters minds for many weeks now and basically the only way Tua could fall behind Murray is for Bama to lose leading up to the SECCG. (The voters get their ballets before the SECCG and many, if not most , will vote before that game is played because.. again.. they've made up their minds).
I'm of the camp that the NC is MUCH more important than any individual award.. but Tua will still grab that Heisman on his way.. The obvious competition next year will be Trevor Lawrence and Providing Tua doesn't get hurt next year he should RUN away with that one even more dominantly, imo.