Tua's Heisman Campaign watch

crimsonaudio

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What they don’t show is Tua hasn’t played anywhere near as long in third quarters as Murray has.
But PR frequently leaves out data that can impact their purpose negatively.
And more importantly, Tua has played real defenses. His numbers would be astronomical if he played the powder puff defenses Murray faces week in and out...
 

Tider_in_GA

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https://twitter.com/abc/status/Here's a terrifying set of statistics: Alabama ranks 95th nationally in pass attempts per game (27.9), but seventh in passing yards per game (328), second in passing touchdowns (38) and first in yards per pass attempt (11.8).— Josh Vitale (@JoshVitale) November 21, 2018

Here's a terrifying set of statistics: Alabama ranks 95th nationally in pass attempts per game (27.9), but seventh in passing yards per game (328), second in passing touchdowns (38) and first in yards per pass attempt (11.8).— Josh Vitale (@JoshVitale) November 21, 2018

Just unreal.

 
Last edited:

KrAzY3

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I already covered why head to head stat comparisons are pure nonsense in this case.

Let me give another example though. Let's take AJ McCarron as an example. He had a lot of overlap in terms of when he and when Landry Jones played.

We all know AJ was a very good quarterback for Alabama, a record breaking one in fact. He was drafted in the 5th round, Jones was drafted in the 4th. AJ has thrown for 928 yards in the NFL, Jones has thrown for 1,310 yards. AJ has a rating of 92.4, Jones has a rating of 86.2. If there is an argument to be made that Jones is a better quarterback, it would be that he's marginally better.

Well... here's the college stats.
Landry Jones in four years as a starter had 16,646 yards and 123 TDs. AJ had 9019 yards and 77 TDs (which includes his time as a backup). Lest you think that makes Jones better, AJ's rating was 162 and Jones rating was 141.

Jones threw for over 7,500 more yards and 46 more TDs (one more year as a starter). Why? Was it because he was a better QB? No. Was it because he was more deserving of post season awards? No, in fact AJ won the Johnny Unitas and the Maxwell (Jones won the Sammy Baugh... didn't know that was a thing). The reason he put up those stats was because he was playing for Oklahoma, that's the only reason.

Anyway, the point is you can't go head to head Oklahoma vs. Alabama passing stats. They're going to be misleading.
 

TideEngineer08

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https://twitter.com/abc/status/Here's a terrifying set of statistics: Alabama ranks 95th nationally in pass attempts per game (27.9), but seventh in passing yards per game (328), second in passing touchdowns (38) and first in yards per pass attempt (11.8).— Josh Vitale (@JoshVitale) November 21, 2018

Here's a terrifying set of statistics: Alabama ranks 95th nationally in pass attempts per game (27.9), but seventh in passing yards per game (328), second in passing touchdowns (38) and first in yards per pass attempt (11.8).— Josh Vitale (@JoshVitale) November 21, 2018

Just unreal.

Video game numbers.
 

uafan4life

Hall of Fame
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That is OU's official site? Not sure I've seen a school do that. Kinda cheap.
What they don’t show is Tua hasn’t played anywhere near as long in third quarters as Murray has.
But PR frequently leaves out data that can impact their purpose negatively.


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They also conveniently left out the level of competition faced by each QB... :rolleyes:
 

RTR91

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It's just like in business - when you mention the competition, even in a negative light, you're admitting they own you...
Here’s the first tweet.

https://twitter.com/ou_football/status/1065280223657250817?s=21

A fan sarcastically asked for the other stats excluding the fourth quarter because OU already tried to hype Kyler with better numbers.

And as someone on twitter pointed out, Tua has over a 100 less passes.

https://twitter.com/brad2524/status/1065462966169026561?s=21

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TrueCrimson7

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Here’s the first tweet.

https://twitter.com/ou_football/status/1065280223657250817?s=21


A fan sarcastically asked for the other stats excluding the fourth quarter because OU already tried to hype Kyler with better numbers.

And as someone on twitter pointed out, Tua has over a 100 less passes.

https://twitter.com/brad2524/status/1065462966169026561?s=21

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What are the stats excluding Quarters 3-4? There have been several games in which Tua was taken out early in the third quarter.
 

RollTide_HTTR

Hall of Fame
Feb 22, 2017
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What are the stats excluding Quarters 3-4? There have been several games in which Tua was taken out early in the third quarter.
From ESPN here are the passing splits by quarter for each. This obviously doesn't include rushing stats

Kyler Murray
YDSCMP%YPATDINTRATATTYDSAVGLNGTD
1119077.814.69123242.7191407.4161
294572.310.05100191.9372757.4334
387258.312.1173183.829933.2192
427370.09.1040190.41923112.2753
Tua
YDSCMP%YPATDINTRATATTYDSAVGLNGTD
1132167.713.34150229.821753.6162
294374.111.09111207.710373.7150
357763.511.1051184.610737.3442
42410024.0000301.6000.000
 
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twofbyc

Hall of Fame
Oct 14, 2009
12,222
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From ESPN here are the splits by quarter for each

Kyler Murray
CMPATTYDSCMP%YPATDINTRATATTYDSAVGLNGTD
16381119077.814.69123242.7191407.4161
2689494572.310.05100191.9372757.4334
3427287258.312.1173183.829933.2192
4213027370.09.1040190.41923112.2753
Tua
CMPATTYDSCMP%YPATDINTRATATTYDSAVGLNGTD
16799132167.713.34150229.821753.6162
2638594374.111.09111207.710373.7150
3335257763.511.1051184.610737.3442
41124100.024.0000301.6000.000
All I can read of that is code; no text or numbers.


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RollTide_HTTR

Hall of Fame
Feb 22, 2017
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All I can read of that is code; no text or numbers.



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Yea sorry I just copied and pasted from ESPN and idk how to fix that. It shows up for me but I guess that's unhelpful to everyone else. Maybe it just doesn't show up on Tapatalk?


EDIT: This should be better. Again this is only passing numbers no rushing

Kyler
YDSCMP%YPATDINTRAT
1119077.814.69123242.7
294572.310.05100191.9
387258.312.1173183.8
427370.09.1040190.4

Tua
YDSCMP%YPATDINTRAT
1132167.713.34150229.8
294374.111.09111207.7
357763.511.1051184.6
424100.024.0000301.6
 
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Tidewater

Hall of Fame
Mar 15, 2003
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Here’s the first tweet.

https://twitter.com/ou_football/status/1065280223657250817?s=21

A fan sarcastically asked for the other stats excluding the fourth quarter because OU already tried to hype Kyler with better numbers.

And as someone on twitter pointed out, Tua has over a 100 less passes.

https://twitter.com/brad2524/status/1065462966169026561?s=21

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"I C Petty Pixels" responded with this about the defenses each has faced over the course of the year:
Top 10: Tua - 1; Kyler - 0
Top 20: Tua - 2; Kyler - 0
Top 25: Tua - 2; Kyler - 0
Top 50 Tua - 4; Kyler - 2
Top 20 left on schedule: Tua - 2; Kyler - 0
 

deliveryman35

Hall of Fame
Jul 26, 2003
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1,194
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I said several weeks ago that I thought for Tua to win it that he could not afford to
to have a bad game. I think he may get a pass for his lackluster performance against State just because they are such a highly regarded D, but I do not think he can
afford to look like that again in the final two games.
 

JustNeedMe81

Hall of Fame
Sep 30, 2011
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Huntsville, Al
I said several weeks ago that I thought for Tua to win it that he could not afford to
to have a bad game. I think he may get a pass for his lackluster performance against State just because they are such a highly regarded D, but I do not think he can
afford to look like that again in the final two games.
His injury was the key. He just need to have a solid game.

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twofbyc

Hall of Fame
Oct 14, 2009
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If Tua has a solid game Saturday and Bama wins by more than 14, I think it’s a done deal. If it’s close and he doesn’t do well, then it will come down to the SECCG, IMO.
I don’t know but I think some voters may be put off by Murray’s “one and done” deal, knowing this is his last year of football. It shouldn’t matter because that’s really not relevant, but then again, Cam got it even with the “integrity” question - so there’s no way to prevent personal feelings from affecting the voters.


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Last edited:

JustNeedMe81

Hall of Fame
Sep 30, 2011
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If Tua has a solid game tomorrow and Bama wins by more than 14, I think it’s a done deal. If it’s close and he doesn’t do well, then it will come down to the SECCG, IMO.
I don’t know but I think some voters may be put off by Murray’s “one and done” deal, knowing this is his last year of football. It shouldn’t matter because that’s really not relevant, but then again, Cam got it even with the “integrity” question - so there’s no way to prevent personal feelings from affecting the voters.


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Tomorrow? They play on Saturday.

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