CFN: Alabama vs. Missouri Fearless Prediction, Game Preview

crimsonaudio

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For all of the great things Alabama is doing, Nick Saban hasn’t been all that happy with a defense that’s allowing a few too many leaky points.

None of them have mattered so far, but the 31 points allowed to Arkansas last week were the most given up by a Crimson Tide defense in a regular season game since beating Ole Miss in a 48-43 firefight early in the 2016 season – 28 regular season games ago.

You want an even crazier fun stat? The 31 allowed to the Hogs were the most given up in the regular season to anyone other than Ole Miss since beating Auburn 55-44 late in 2014.

Long ramble short, the Alabama defense is about to show up.
Alabama vs. Missouri Fearless Prediction, Game Preview

I'll take it!
 

B1GTide

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Am I reading it right but at the bottom they say their confidence score out of 5 is a 2? So they are only 40% confident in their prediction? Or am I reading it wrong?
They never have a strong confidence score. I have no idea why. I am not even sure why they continue to give one. Essentially, they say stuff and then say that they really are not sure if they really believe what they just said.
 

RollTide_HTTR

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It sounds like while we won't have Diggs, Missouri isn't going to have their best WR. I hope we put up 50 but that prediction seems pretty solid.
 

RollTide_HTTR

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Am I reading it right but at the bottom they say their confidence score out of 5 is a 2? So they are only 40% confident in their prediction? Or am I reading it wrong?
I think that only applies against the spread. So they are only 40% confident about us covering I suppose?
 

Snuffy Smith

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Am I reading it right but at the bottom they say their confidence score out of 5 is a 2? So they are only 40% confident in their prediction? Or am I reading it wrong?
It is their confidence ATS (against the spread). Just means they would probably not bet on Bama to beat the 28.



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B1GTide

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It is their confidence ATS (against the spread). Just means they would probably not bet on Bama to beat the 28.


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Agreed, but they picked Alabama to beat the spread. If you are only 40% sure about Alabama beating the spread, why pick Alabama to win by 29 (48-19)? Pick Alabama to win by 27.
 

Snuffy Smith

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Agreed, but they picked Alabama to beat the spread. If you are only 40% sure about Alabama beating the spread, why pick Alabama to win by 29 (48-19)? Pick Alabama to win by 27.
Probably because they don’t really pay that much attention [emoji6]


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PA Tide Fan

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While we are talking about oddities with their score prediction I wonder how they came up with 19 points for Missouri. It's an unusual number to achieve.

1. A touchdown, extra point and 4 FG's?- Not likely
2. 2 TD's, two 2 point conversions and a FG.? - Not likely
3. 17 points + a safety?- not likely
4. 3 TD's with 2 missed extra points- not likely
5. 2 TD's, missed extra point and 2 FG's- possible
 
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RollTide_HTTR

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While we are talking about oddities with their score prediction I wonder how they came up with 19 points for Missouri. It's an unusual number to achieve.

1. A touchdown, extra point and 4 FG's?- Not likely
2. 2 TD's, two 2 point conversions and a FG.? - Not likely
3. 17 points + a safety?- not likely
4. 3 TD's with 2 missed extra points- not likely
5. 2 TD's, missed extra point and 2 FG's- possible
Maybe they just use some sort of average and put in regardless of the likelihood of the exact score?
 

The Ols

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It's their confidence ATS..Against The Spread...Nobody is EVER a 5 of 5 on that...:smile:
Am I reading it right but at the bottom they say their confidence score out of 5 is a 2? So they are only 40% confident in their prediction? Or am I reading it wrong?
 

CoachJeff

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I think it'll be higher scoring than that. I am starting to lose faith in the defense (at least in terms of them being a regular Bama D - they're not Ole Miss or anything). The D has some legit issues and losing #7 only makes it worse. I think it'll be more like 55-34 or 62-31.
 

crimsonaudio

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I don't see how Mizzou (with the 117th ranked pass D in the country) will keep Bama under 50.

Also, Mizzou appears to be without one starting WR and the other is hobbled.
 

TideEngineer08

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Other than the score, I have one other major quibble:

He’ll get time to work, he’ll get time for his receivers to get free, and he’ll hit 11-of-13 passes for 239 yards and three touchdowns in the first half
Make that 11 of 13 for about 339, actually. I think we've got a great chance to top 60 for a 3rd time this year and break the SEC record.
 

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