I'm a bit confused why I'm having trouble communicating here. My posts are being consistently misunderstood in a way that grossly distorts the points I'm trying to make. I haven't had this problem in the past with Alabama fans, so I don't know what my malfunction is this time...But I feel like it has become too tedious to really continue.
Sorry to wrap this up in one mass response, but I just wanted to clarify what I actually believe:
If this post is any indication .. you are coming across 5 by 5, crystal clear to this Bama fan. Further, I tend to be far from brief in my writing so I enjoy reasonably written "lengthy" posts.
1. Alabama is a better team than OU this year and should win the game. The 14-point spread is reasonable. It is also plausible that Alabama trucks OU. This could be Saban's best team.
Agree, Agree, Agreed,.. Kind of on the team. --- This is without a doubt Saban's best offense he's ever fielded at Alabama. However this defense is not as good as those of the last 7-8 years. Don't get me wrong,.. it's an amazing defense by most standards. It's an 'elite' defense. It's statistically a top 10 defense across the board. It has the best player in football, imo, QWilliams.
However, it has a few weaknesses. Saivion Smith (CB) is , frankly, Bama's weakest secondary link and as such is picked on / targeted by teams who know how to coach A LOT. While Saivion doesn't constantly miss his assignments/busts.. he does so enough in each game to have earned the 'worst of the best' if you will. His primary issue is he has to compensate for his lack of CB level speed. Saivion runs a 4.6 40.. and Saban defenses typically require a 4.4 to 4.5 (or better/faster) speed for the DB's. Saivion is in because he has experience,.. we have Trevon Diggs out for season,.. and we have SO much youth behind him (and on field).
I'm not saying he's not a good CB.. Saban wouldn't keep him out there if he wasn't up to par as we have guys like Jared Mayden and Josh Jobe who are supremely fast and talented that don't have these deficiencies. Mayden has been playing more but Jobe hasn't seen the field and I haven't checked but I imagine he's been redshirted this year.
More on the top 10, elite defense, that compared to Saban's NORMAL defenses isn't mega awesome.
So we've established there is a slight hole in the coverage occasionally with Saivion(CB). Where else is there issue? Not many spots But ..
ILB .. Interior Linebackers (Mike/Will). We have EXTREME talent here.. We have the best linebacker in the country Dylan Moses at the Will.. guy runs a 4.4 flat as a Linebacker (that's speed).. then we have Mack Wilson calling the defense at Mike. They've had issues communicating this year (more at the start than now.. but still) -- Mack has had issues recognizing and getting all the assignments/play calls out to the team in a timely manner (again better now with his experience but still not up to 'automatic' levels).
Including the OLB's.. they are SOLID but they aren't exactly spectacular playmakers. Jennings and Miller have the potential to be suffocating but mostly they are supporting and are solid/reliable this year with flashes of greatness. These guys showed 'greatness' on a consistent basis last year in the Clemson Semi-Final.. I'm hoping we see that kind o defensive performance vs. Murray and his Sooners.
Last thing on LBers.. esp: MLB/ILB's -- They've been sub par when in COVERAGE. Teams know this is a weakness and you better believe riley is going to work on creating mismatches across the middle of the field where the LBers are responsible for pass coverage. On the flip side.. We've seen interceptions and near picks from Mack Wilson, Dylan Moses, and Anfernee Jennings this season with a lot of batted balls to boot. Especially if QW, Big Davis, and Buggs can get home .. opportunities arise.
Deionte Thompson is 'due' a few picks, as is his compadre Xavier McKinney, the mind blowing true freshman who is our best lockdown corner.. Patrick Surtain II,.. and SHYHEIM CARTER. Carter has been playing with his pants on fire lately.. he's been SOOO close on so many interceptions lately.. I really feel this defense will come away with a couple Take aways (even against the man.. Heisman Murray).
2. Oklahoma's defense has been terrible all year. Historically bad. Godawful. However, the issues seem to be more mental than physical. Given OU's relatively high talent level and a few weeks of prep for a single team, they have a chance for dramatic improvement. They're not going to morph into an elite defense, but they could play like a reasonably good defense as compared to the awful defense they've been most of the year.
You're not the first OU fan I've seen say this statement. That your defense has played terrible.. VERY bad.. but in the 4 weeks off the OU faithful believe their defense will come out MUCH improved. I don't know how much better you anticipate but I don't see it if I'm brutally honest.
I think the OU defense (if coached and motivated properly this month) can come out pumped up and will fly across the field working to make life harder for the Bama offense. However, given they have been TERRIBLY coached, lack the basic fundamentals at any consistent level (watching film on OU defense is painful),.. This motivation will be quite easy to shift away with a modicum of success running or passing via Alabama offense. I honestly blame the OU defense on the coaches 99%.
OU's defense is a group of players who have been disserviced and should honestly be a bit ....ed off about the LACK of SOLID coaching at such a prestigious University imho. It would NOT be difficult to hire in a proper GOOD defensive staff to change the culture there defensively and take that 100+ ranked defense and move it into a top 50 defense in a matter of months (off season spring/summer conditioning/fall).
OU has recruited at worst 15-16th and at best in the top 10 the last 5-6 recruiting cycles.. so there is SOME talent on that defense. It's a shame to see it go to waste due to coaching staff ineptitude / apathy imo.
3. The SEC has been the top conference in CFB over the past decade (and for the most part historically.) But the primary reason the SEC has been so strong in the past decade is because of Alabama. If Alabama had joined the ACC a decade ago, the ACC would claim top dog status, and you'd have Pitt fans hollering about ACC dominance as if being in a conference with Alabama, Clemson and FSU made them special. It just doesn't work that way. The SEC West is nearly always good. But the SEC East is very inconsistent. They are great this year, but were terrible last year. Having #2 Georgia doesn't erase the fact that 5/7 of the SEC East failed to make the top-60 in Sagarin rankings last year. Nobody should pretend that teams that don't make the top-60 in Sagarin are actually good teams.
Great and Interesting point(s). I will say the SEC is not nearly as 'top heavy' as it has been some years with Alabama and then 5 gaps till the #2 team. However, up until SECCG vs Georgia.. it appeared Alabama was head and shoulders above all SEC Teams. ANd on second thought I still believe they are.. I think the SECCG was a situation of a Heisman worthy QB in Tua being injured on the first series of game (High ankle sprain - required surgery) and that was IT for Tua basically (Even though he got it together in 3rd QTR to put some points on that board and bring it within 7.. before being injured again and knocked out of game completely. ) ... In comes Jalen and what Redemption Song he had. I felt like a PROUD Dad.. I'm 39 so Jalen could be my Kid if I had one as a teenager
I think even fans of OTHER teams had a MOMENT of cheering on Jalen Hurts if they knew his history/story. But bottom l ine.. Alabama ended up playing it's D+ or C- at best Game for about 2.5 - 3 Quarters and then FINALLY locked down on defense and offense for the final 1.X Quarter(s) to pull off the victory. Which is something Saban preaches so much, FINISHING -- Something this prolific offense hadn't had to TRULY exercise when the situation looked dire and hope lost with the 28-14 score going into second half. I think this showed a lot about struggling... OFF.. Bama team -- And, should serve those guys well should they find themselves back in adversity/behind/close game late etc in the playoffs.
Which, let's be honest,.. Is likely to happen.
Good luck in the game, and in the likely championship with Clemson. Should be fun to watch...
Well said mon amis,.. and Ditto! I love respectful, non delusional, fans of the upcoming opposing team. You recognize the advantage Bama has and why. You don't make sweeping statements re: your team based on nothing but "wishcasting"
However, you also understand the very real risk the OU offense poses to Alabama and how this is most certainly not an auto win like .. say.. if Alabama had drawn Notre Dame instead
Best of luck to your Sooners, may the best team win, and let's hope nary an injury for either team transpires!
TL;DR -- Meh,.. Great Post,.. Stick around and Best of luck for the upcoming game!