Considering no player is a first round lock it's probably worth the risk for some teams. Half the players picked in the first round are busts so it's not a bad idea to try and hit on a franchise QB. I'd rather roll the dice on Murray than Haskins or Daniel Jones from Duke. Not a strong QB class..
Maybe but that doesn't mean they all have an equal chance of succeeding. I'd take Haskins over Murray any day. I have no desire to draft Daniel Jones in the 1st either and would tempted to bet on Murray's upside over Jones if I had to pick one.
That said, I'm sure some team will take Murray in the 1st and there may be a few teams that it wouldn't be the worst pick for. Not sure what those teams would be though off the top of my head.
I will fully admit that I am biased in this case by the fact that Redskins fans seem to want him and his fit here would be terrible. I don't think Murray will succeed in the NFL but I KNOW he won't succeed if the Redskins draft him.
All that said, if I'm a GM I'm not drafting him in the 1st. Way too big of a risk IMO unless you are a QB away. Then you may be able to take on that risk.