My thoughts on independents -
I think their ranks grew substantially after the 2016 primaries, and the majority of them had left the Dem Party. I think there has been growth since then from the Repub defections, but IMO the largest number of new independents since 2016 were either previously Dems or new voters who choose to identify that way (safe to say the majority of those who are young won’t lean to the right).
I think this growth has tilted the balance in the ranks of the independents to lean left - how far? We’ll know soon. I don’t think it’s AOC-far (though I think many moderates might tolerate Bernie more than AOC).
This is why (one reason, anyway), IMO, any Dem will get a larger portion of the independent vote than Trump. Those who left the Republican Party won’t vote for him - why would they? It means they left the party for no reason, if they did. (Hope I’m not giving even former Republicans too much credit).
Here’s a question: no matter who the Dem is running, do you really think someone like Kasich will vote for Trump? I don’t - again, I hope I’m not giving him and those like him too much credit.
Based on what I’ve seen and heard from him, I don’t think I am - I don’t agree with many of his positions, but I think he has more than a shred of dignity.
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I think their ranks grew substantially after the 2016 primaries, and the majority of them had left the Dem Party. I think there has been growth since then from the Repub defections, but IMO the largest number of new independents since 2016 were either previously Dems or new voters who choose to identify that way (safe to say the majority of those who are young won’t lean to the right).
I think this growth has tilted the balance in the ranks of the independents to lean left - how far? We’ll know soon. I don’t think it’s AOC-far (though I think many moderates might tolerate Bernie more than AOC).
This is why (one reason, anyway), IMO, any Dem will get a larger portion of the independent vote than Trump. Those who left the Republican Party won’t vote for him - why would they? It means they left the party for no reason, if they did. (Hope I’m not giving even former Republicans too much credit).
Here’s a question: no matter who the Dem is running, do you really think someone like Kasich will vote for Trump? I don’t - again, I hope I’m not giving him and those like him too much credit.
Based on what I’ve seen and heard from him, I don’t think I am - I don’t agree with many of his positions, but I think he has more than a shred of dignity.
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