Possible Playoff Scenarios - with Bama
- Thread starter CajunCrimson
- Start date
I'll be pulling for Auburn, but this is really a win-win situation.
If Auburn wins, that helps our SoS.
If Auburn loses...well, Auburn loses.
See? Win-win.
I agree with everything you say, but I'm not worried about Oklahoma, even if they win out. I think our loss is so much "better" than their loss that we should have the edge. Plus with probably four SEC teams in the Committee's final top 10 and probably only one Big 12 team, it would be easier to justify having two SEC teams in the playoff than putting in the winner of the Big 12 over the second-best SEC team when that SEC team has a better resume.
Whether we would beat out a one-loss PAC 12 champ is a closer call, but if the Committee isn't looking for reasons to keep us out we should have the edge there too.
I completely agree. If LSU loses, we are done (unless they completely flop and drop both the Ole Miss and TAM games, in which case we are all the way back in it. But that is a fantasy -- no way they choke like that).
That's the difference in most of us and you. But I don't think we are "assuming" it but we expect we can and will be able to do that because, simply, we are more optimistic and you are not. No harm or foul. People are different.
Also, to even discuss a possible CFP scenario, you have to "assume" (predict we win against the Barn) or else it's a senseless discussion because we're out with 2 losses.
Of all the factors discussed, two are under-discussed - Tua's injury and the "eye test." If everyone takes care of business - LSU beats UGA and we win out, I think we're in. UGA's loss was, well, "UGly" - to a team we beat by 24. We beat AU and they beat Oregon. Utah doesn't pass the "eye test." OU's loss was to a far inferior team. Tonight will be interesting...
Only way LSU loses before the SECCG weekend is if Burrow goes down and misses the remainder of the season. Ultimately, I hope they demolish everyone including Georgia, get the #1 seed. And we sneak in and get the #4 seed...I don't want to watch Oregon or Utah in the playoff.
precisely...in a strange world of college football these days, our best argument is a quality loss against a team we almost beat with a QB on one leg that didn't get the offense going into the middle of the 3rd quarter that overcame a 20 point halftime deficit.
If LSU beats UGA, their ugly loss to USCe doesn't matter. They drop out of contention with 2 losses.
Would expect nothing less from Gray. Some have decided to give up hope and be pessimistic.
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The committee is pretty cryptic sometime, we will indeed know a lot after tonight. If Alabama isn't fourth and I don't hear something about Tua's injury I'll be pretty nervous though. This is a chance for them to give Alabama a well deserved benefit of a doubt, but I remember what they did after the Auburn loss (admittedly an ugly performance). They dropped Alabama from first, to fifth, putting them behind one 2 loss team (it was after all a loss to their new #2 team) but also behind two other one loss teams (Oklahoma and Clemson).
Tim Brando is already whining about the eye test and Bama privilege.........what a crybaby
I'm usually worried about playing an AU team in JHS when they're good. Not this year. Bama wins by double digits.
You say that, and I recognize that this is a different LSU team than other years, but LSU just has that ability to lose inexplicably. They are usually good for one of those a year. I definitely thought it would have come by now, but with Ole Miss and A&M left, I don't trust them to win out. They won't lose two, but they could very well drop one between now and the SECCG. If there is one thing Orgeron is bad at as a coach, it's keeping his players focused, especially against inferior competition.
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