Win straight up? Or win against the spread?I think I read somewhere last year that double-digit favorites in the Iron Bowl win like 95% of the time, or something like that.
Anyone else remember / know more about that?
I wouldn't be surprised at all if double-digit favorites in the iron bowl win straight up 95% of the time. It seems to me like in a rivalry as passionate as the iron bowl, the tendency would be for the spread to be deflated more than it would be inflated. In other words, a definitely inferior team would be expected by bettors to play over their heads and keep the game closer, so the spread would be lower, not higher than it would otherwise be. If the spread was in the double digits, that would indicate a very large disparity between the two teams, and the favorite should probably win outright almost every time.
But I'd be very surprised if the favorite in the iron bowl wins against the spread 95% of the time when the spread is in the double digits.
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