CFP seedings 1st edition 2025

This is all about the "eye test"......which is just dumb.

Indiana is undefeated....beat Oregon on the road.

Ohio State is undefeated....beat Texas at home.

Texas A&M is undefeated....beat Notre Dame on the road (which should end the debate entirely according to the committee ranking ND)...beat LSU and Missouri on the road....and has Texas on the road at the end.

I'd say Strength of Record is a better metric.....but then the latest ranking for that has BYU at 8 and Texas Texas at 9.....right after Tech beat them by 3 scores.

I don't think Oregon should be as high as they are. They are getting credit for beating a #3 Penn State team that is now 3-6. Of course the Sagarin rankings still have PSU at #16. But then that means Ole Miss is too high as well since they've got a worst SOS and a worse remaining SOS. Only real difference between Oregon and Ole Miss.....Oregon lost at home to #2, Ole Miss lost on the road to #5.

It’s insane to me that Texas A&M is not #1

Their resume and FPI metrics are comparable if not better than both IU and tOSU and with a much higher SOS.

In previous years you cover up the names and the team with the Aggies resume is #1

It’s like they are purposely being subjective to a stubborn degree and placing way to much on the ‘eye test’.

Which to be honest should still favor A&M.
 
It’s insane to me that Texas A&M is not #1

Their resume and FPI metrics are comparable if not better than both IU and tOSU and with a much higher SOS.

In previous years you cover up the names and the team with the Aggies resume is #1

It’s like they are purposely being subjective to a stubborn degree and placing way to much on the ‘eye test’.

Which to be honest should still favor A&M.
I think their “eye test” is more of a “talent level + recency bias” test. Ohio State has bought up a lot of talent and won it all last year, therefore they will continue to get the benefit of the doubt until they lose.
 
Ohio State is the defending national champion.
They haven't lost.

So I'm not sure why this is even a debate at this point. Indeed, it's the 1966 argument in a nutshell.

(And yes, I know it's changed, but the champ hasn't lost yet, either).
 
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Ohio State is the defending national champion.
They haven't lost.

So I'm not sure why this is even a debate at this point. Indeed, it's the 1966 argument in a nutshell.

(And yes, I know it's changed, but the champ hasn't lost yet, either).
Totally agree. The AP thought they were smarter than everyone else with their preseason poll having Texas #1, Penn State #2 and Ohio State #3. Texas has 2 losses and has been unimpressive in their wins while Penn State has fallen out of sight. Had they followed the simple logic of keeping the #1 team from the prior season ranked #1 until someone beats them they would have been more accurate.
 
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I think it would be hysterical if Duke wins out (favored by -6.5 over Virginia) / 78% chance of beating NC / 76% chance to beat Wake....and then your ACCCG is Georgia Tech vs Duke....and then Duke wins, making the playoff as an 9-4 team.

In that scenario, there is a good chance that the ACC doesn’t have anyone in the playoffs.
 
Ohio State is the defending national champion.
They haven't lost.

So I'm not sure why this is even a debate at this point. Indeed, it's the 1966 argument in a nutshell.

(And yes, I know it's changed, but the champ hasn't lost yet, either).
Literally meaningless argument as this OSU team has won NOTHING of consequence.

At this point, it has to be based on SOS or it's just emotional vomit based on 'whatever', such as who won what last season.
 
Literally meaningless argument as this OSU team has won NOTHING of consequence.

At this point, it has to be based on SOS or it's just emotional vomit based on 'whatever', such as who won what last season.

But but.....we "feel" Ohio State is the better team over Indiana. We "feel" that Indiana is a better team than Texas A&M.

We "felt" this and we "felt" that and just threw these rankings together.
 
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