Mario Cristobal being hired at Miami might be the domino that fells Clemson (and Dabo) off its recent, lofty perch.
Hear me out.
FSU seems to be rising, perhaps not a meteoric rise but rising nonetheless. Napier will be as good or better on the recruiting trail than was Mullen. Cristobal could very well put Miami back on top of its conference within three years.
Clemson has made its run on the backs of recruits from the State of Florida. Nearly a fourth of their roster at any given point under Dabo has been Florida players.
I'd be willing to bet that's a significant increase over the percentage under Tuberville.
I'd also be willing to bet that increase was largely due to the decline of at least two, arguably all three, of the three major programs in the State of Florida.
If recruiting in Florida becomes more difficult for out-of-State schools like Alabama, Georgia, and Clemson - I'm putting my money on Clemson getting the short end of that stick...
It's a decent enough theory. One could even throw in "but UCF" to further support the point.
On the other hand, we've been hearing about this inevitable rise of both teams for damn near two decades now, too. FSU had a bump in 13-14 but was otherwise, well, less than their 90s run. And besides, wasn't Florida down at the end of the Zook era? Shouldn't - in theory - this have prevented the free fall of Miami and slower descent of FSU? All it took was Meyer to turn it all around for the future handbags.
In other words, I'm not saying you're wrong (and you may be proven right), but we've all been hearing this stuff ad nauseum for years. Hell, Texas has been gonna dominate the sport every year since Moses parted the Crimson Tide and Colt McCoy was born in a manger on Christmas Day. They've hired phenom after phenom and crickets.
Let's be honest: while we all know that every school cheats up to a point, Miami's rise coincided with teams being willing to steal a few bucks out of the offering plate while Miami was willing to send a mobster in after the collection to spray the room with bullets and walk out with the money. The very thing that gave them that advantage is gone forever with NIL - and at a time they're not doing so hot.
However, your point was about Clemson. And what I think will be interesting here is this: is Dabo a one-trick pony whose rise benefited from:
a) the implosion of FSU
b) the mediocrity of the ACC
c) over credit for a close game against Alabama in 2015
d) gaining the edge on recruiting with the close call
Many a coach has looked like a genius for a short period of time. Vince Dooley was the next Coach Bryant in 1982; go look at his post-1983 record, and it looks more like the pre-Herschel years.
Dabo may be more Dooley 1980-83 and Osborne 1993-97 than like Saban.