That is my feeling when I watch most of the professional drafts. I hear the words "potential" or "up side" way too much. IMO the top 15 picks should be somewhere between can't miss and probable star.
Completely baffles me why these pro GMs don't let the colleges develop these guys for free, all the way through their senior years. Look at Daniels at LSU. He was on his way to a career in fast food but grew into a real QB this last year. This is either his 5th or 6th year in college. Point being, you'll know a lot more about these guys after a FULL college career than you will as a redshirt sophomore.
If JM continues on his current track he'd get drafted...not sure where but someone would take the risk. Just baffles me.