I think UTw will have the inside track on Manning. Sark can flat develop a QB.
Other than UTw, I could see Clemson. As distasteful as that is, Dabo has had DeShaun Watson and Trevor Lawrence, and Lawrence’s replacement looks sound in limited work. He’s also had little turnover in the assistant coaches.
I don’t see UTe. Just too much of a rebuilding process, and the only reason Peyton went there in the first place was David Cutcliffe. I don’t think the Mannings have any particular affection for the program, and I’m not 100% sure even Peyton does.
Ole Miss would be a possibility if Kiffin could reasonably be expected to stay there. But Oxford is a stepping stone for him to get a Top 10 job, or at least one back out west. Don’t see him being there for 5 years, one of those is already gone, and it’s two years before Arch would be there. So no OM.
aTm: Jimbo has a good record of recruiting QBs, but not developing them. Plus, I just don’t see the Mannings having a tremendous amount of respect for that type of personality.
LSU — As long as O is there, zero chance. Not a fit on personality. Other than when Joe Brady was there his one and only year, a worse record of QB development than Gus Malzahn.
Duke — While they have Cutcliffe, I’m not sure how his health will hold up. Even if that weren’t an issue, Duke football doesn’t have the resources to develop a talent like that.
tOSU — Maybe, depending on how Day develops future QBs.
Michigan — Harbaugh and the Mannings would be like phosphorus and oxygen. No chance.
Alabama — Several problems. From a business perspective, they’re going to be concerned about Saban’s longevity. They’ll also be concerned about turnover in the OC and QB coach positions. Emotionally, I don’t think they could stomach a Manning at what they see as the Death Star Alabama. Not zero chance, but not likely.
So I see, in order, UTw, Clemson, with dark horse tOSU depending on how Day‘s QBs look over the next couple of years, and the family’s perception of the OC and QB coach.
Late Add: Can’t believe I forgot about Oklahoma. Whatever you might think about their conference or their defenses, you have to give Lincoln Riley respect for developing QBs. I still think the Mannings perceive more potential for development elsewhere, but OU is a possibility.