Election Predictions With Less Than 50 Days To Go

[selmaborntidefan]

My Oregon bud and I were talking yesterday, and he asked me my take AT THIS POINT. (I always reserve the right to change it).

Biden wins.
Dems keep House.
Dems take the Senate albeit narrowly

(FTR - I predicted this when I predicted impeachment based on Ukraine about a year ago. Trump would be acquitted, and the Dems would sweep the country. Nothing so far has changed my mind - in fact, the pandemic pushes things more in the Ds direction).

 

[B1GTide]

I think that the GOP (and America) would be in a very different position if they had shown their leader the door when they had the chance during the impeachment proceedings. They have since doubled down on stupid, so they deserve to lose the senate along with the presidency.

 

[selmaborntidefan]

I think that the GOP (and America) would be in a very different position if they had shown their leader the door when they had the chance during the impeachment proceedings. They have since doubled down on stupid, so they deserve to lose the senate along with the presidency.

Oh, I agree.

OTOH - what the politicians will tell you (a la Jeff Flake) is, "Look, we don't like this guy, but if we vote against him then our own raging constituency is going to replace us, and nothing is more important than keeping my federal job with no heavy lifting and six-figure salary for about three months' work."

 

[TexasBama]

The Senate seats most likely to flip in November

WASHINGTON - Republicans have a slim, three-seat majority in the Senate that they're...

www.lmtonline.com

 

[81usaf92]

Biden wins by less than 20 EC

Dems take the Senate

Dems keep the house

We won’t know the results until 2 weeks after the election

SCOTUS will have to end the election

 

[92tide]

i think it will be a strong dem wave election. my guess is it will play out like 2018 with the extent of the win coming in the days/weeks following the election.

 

[DzynKingRTR]

No matter the outcome of the Presidential election, there will be people on social media and probably here too saying:
"It was rigged"
"Not my president"

 

[UAH]

i think it will be a strong dem wave election. my guess is it will play out like 2018 with the extent of the win coming in the days/weeks following the election.

I say a silent prayer that you are right in this. I see much of what I consider to be unprecedented opposition to Trump in the news and social media among even conservative voters. I attempt to weigh this against all of the efforts to obstruct voting by Trump backers to ultimately delay a result and throw the election into the courts. With McConnell continuing to hold literal veto authority over Congress and Trump violating all boundaries of executive power I strongly believe that four more years of Trump spells the end of this Republic. Considering this country's financial, social and environmental issues that statement isn't such a great leap of faith.

 

[GrayTide]

I hope all of you are right, but right now I honestly do not know. Maybe as we get closer things might become clearer.

 

[92tide]

I hope all of you are right, but right now I honestly do not know. Maybe as we get closer things might become clearer.

i don't think we will have any clarity because they are going to turn the puke funnel up to 11 and keep going past that as things get worse for them. it's the only thing they know how to do.

 

[sabanball]

Trump wins by significant EC majority and election is called the night of Nov 3 (or early morning of Nov 4)

GOP retains the Senate

GOP takes the House (17 seats needed)

Democrats won't accept election results yet again as evidenced by Biden team recently "lawyerin' up" in anticipation of court challenges to election process

 

[92tide]

and kyle rittenhouse will be shown to have acted in self defense.

 

[TIDE-HSV]

Trump wins by significant EC majority and election is called the night of Nov 3 (or early morning of Nov 4)

GOP retains the Senate

GOP takes the House (17 seats needed)

Democrats won't accept election results yet again as evidenced by Biden team recently "lawyerin' up" in anticipation of court challenges to election process

Whole lot of wishful thinking there...

 

[TexasBama]

trump team moves to magic, plans to win without Florida

https://www.mcclatchydc.com/news/politics-government/election/article245760810.html

 

[TexasBama]

Cook Political Report moves Arizona to ‘lean Democrat’ in Biden-Trump race

The Cook Political Report shifted the presidential race in Arizona toward Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden on Thursday after a new poll showed the former vice president opening up a 5-poin…

thehill.com

 

[CharminTide]

I hope you guys are right, but there's such a stark difference in political support whenever I leave the city and drive through the rural wastelands of Ohio. Couple that with GOP trash attempting their voter suppression tactics in swing states, and I'm less certain than some of you.

Ohio judge blows up GOP plan to allow only 1 ballot box in each county

 

[Jon]

I hope you guys are right, but there's such a stark difference in political support whenever I leave the city and drive through the rural wastelands of Ohio. Couple that with GOP trash attempting their voter suppression tactics in swing states, and I'm less certain than some of you.

Ohio judge blows up GOP plan to allow only 1 ballot box in each county

I share your concerns

 

[92tide]

they are definitely trying to screw with the election. but i think they may have played their hands too early as it has seemingly gotten a lot of folks to mobilize and pay attention to the upcoming election and making sure they vote. purely anecdotal, but i have seen quite a lot of folks out and about registering voters

 

[TIDE-HSV]

they are definitely trying to screw with the election. but i think they may have played their hands too early as it has seemingly gotten a lot of folks to mobilize and pay attention to the upcoming election and making sure they vote. purely anecdotal, but i have seen quite a lot of folks out and about registering voters

I know one thing - black folk are mobilized against him to a far greater degree than four years ago, after seeing what his first term has been like...

 

[TexasBama]

I know one thing - black folk are mobilized against him to a far greater degree than four years ago, after seeing what his first term has been like...

Polling I think doesn't do a good job capturing turnout, especially new voters. An optimist might say Biden wins in a near blowout.