After ESPN fine tuned their BPI it looks a lot more realistic now.
SEC has 7 teams that are stone cold locks (95% or better)
aTm, Bama, Auburn, Florida, Tennessee, Kentucky, and Ole Miss
3 that should be in (70-94%)
Mississippi State (94%), Mizzou (90%) and Oklahoma (72%)
and 4 true bubble teams
Texas (53%), Vanderbilt (49%), UGA (39%) and Arkansas (31%)
these projections were from before tonight’s games so I imagine Arkansas had improved their odds a bit, OU has slipped to the bubble and Mizzou is knocking on the door of being the 8th lock.