Tropical Depression Sixteen--Maybe Heading to "Our" Gulf Coast

day-day

Hall of Fame
Jan 2, 2005
11,128
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Bartlett, TN (Memphis area)
The projected path has bumped to the west now (towards New Orleans). I hope it moves a little more west (and stays weak); we could use some rain at our house when it moves way inland while I am away on vacation.
 

Intl.Aperture

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Aug 12, 2015
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Chesapeake, Virginia
The projected path has bumped to the west now (towards New Orleans). I hope it moves a little more west (and stays weak); we could use some rain at our house when it moves way inland while I am away on vacation.
By more west I hope you mean disappears or degrades to a spitting rain. Between Mexico's earthquakes, Houston's hurricane, and the shaft of Florida getting hit I don't think any area of the Gulf Coast needs another major storm, no matter the category.
 

AUDub

Suspended
Dec 4, 2013
18,481
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Give me ambiguity or give me something else.
Spann's been watching it for a while now, even when conditions were only favorable a week ago. Both models have it peaking as a TS, and hitting somewhere in LA/MS before sweeping up through MS into central AL before continuing NE and dissappating. Going to be a wet Sunday and Columbus day.
 
The projected path has bumped to the west now (towards New Orleans). I hope it moves a little more west (and stays weak); we could use some rain at our house when it moves way inland while I am away on vacation.
Just saw this myself and I am hoping for the same, but I think the Florida and Alabama gulf coast will catch all of it.


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gman4tide

All-American
Nov 21, 2005
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I gots 450ac of cotton that don't need any of this. Can we get a cold front to sweep down sunday and push this thing wayyyyyyyyyy east...like cut straight across the stem of florida?
 

twofbyc

Hall of Fame
Oct 14, 2009
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Spann's been watching it for a while now, even when conditions were only favorable a week ago. Both models have it peaking as a TS, and hitting somewhere in LA/MS before sweeping up through MS into central AL before continuing NE and dissappating. Going to be a wet Sunday and Columbus day.
What I saw at noon locally still said cat 1; Gulf is warm enough and unless that cold front picks up speed, this thing could easily be a 1 or stronger.


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AUDub

Suspended
Dec 4, 2013
18,481
7,796
187
Give me ambiguity or give me something else.
What I saw at noon locally still said cat 1; Gulf is warm enough and unless that cold front picks up speed, this thing could easily be a 1 or stronger.


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Yes, that's what the NHC is saying. GFS and ECWMF (Euro) still forecast it as a TS for now.

Latest track data. Good agreement.



Latest intensity guidance. A few outliers, but most keep it below hurricane strength.



Current temps in the gulf. Fairly cool up north.

 

day-day

Hall of Fame
Jan 2, 2005
11,128
2,761
287
Bartlett, TN (Memphis area)
Water 'em with a hose!
Plus, my oldest son has a couple baseball games up your way Sunday...USA stadium or something? I wanna try and make those.
If you end up looking for a place to eat, Huey's recently opened up a restaurant in Millington.


Looks like Nate is expected to move really fast. I was worried about a Monday morning flight from Memphis to Atlanta. If the current forecast is accurate, Nate shouldn't have an impact then.
 

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