Some of the best coaching advice I ever got came in my first year coaching. I had all these ideas about what we could do and the HC said, "It doesn't matter what we do, we can do all of these things and they can all work. What matters is that we coach it well, have the players to execute the system, and that the players buy in. Whatever we decide to do will work if those things happen."
We can't run the ball because we didn't have the running back room we have consistently had since the time of Shawn Alexander, we had an offensive line that was not coached particularly well, and the players certainly didn't buy into what it took to win running the ball. That is perhaps the greatest thing Cignetti did at Indiana, is he got players that matched the DNA of what his programs system and culture needed to be successful. That was also a tremendous strength of CNS. A player might be a great player, but we don't want him if he doesn't match our DNA.
I am beyond intrigued of what CKD's Bama team's DNA will be this year. This is it. Year Three, most players on the roster are now "his" guys. The transition excuses go out the window and it is put up or shut up. You want to run the ball downhill, then he better have the players to do it, coach them up and make sure they have the intangibles and buy in he wants. If he doesn't care about downhill power game, then fine you better have the guys that can run circles around other teams. Either way, this is now his program and whatever direction they choose, it better be 100% in that direction and not rudderless or this will be it for the staff.
The last thing we want is for this job to be reopen next year, because that will mean we will have a roster without direction that will be emptied into the portal and a new staff coming into a full rebuild. So I am absolutely hoping he figures this out this year because the alternative isn't good at all.
Barring a season collapse, e.g., 6-6, or something like that, IMO, it would be folly to fire him and I think the athletic adm and University higher ups will wisely ignore fan unrest and give him a 4th or 5th year. The cost of changing staffs is so high now, with the likely departure of the vast majority of the meaningful players, that you want to give your current staff every opportunity to succeed. This is especially true at this time of upheaval in the college football.
Alabama had the lowest player payroll of the 10 P4 programs who made the Playoff this year at just above $20M. I think Miami was highest at -$33M. Indiana was 9th at -$22M. IMO, Indiana was a special case not likely to be repeated. In fact, we know that they have ?significantly? increased their spending because they know it.
We saw where Ala had to back off a good, not great, RB they needed, also a good, not great, LT. Both because of money. We knew Texas could back Ala down, So Car was something else. A prominent Texas Tech booster was reported to have said during portal activity, “Alabama can’t compete”. Time will tell.
If Alabama’s resources remain at their current levels and the college football NIL structure remains as is or as many of the big spenders want, becomes even less restrictive, Alabama will become even less attractive to any prospective replacement coach. And their allure has already been greatly reduced because tradition, an invested fan base, etc., has already been largely replaced by money.
Alabama would likely not even have the stumbling, staggering success that Michigan and PSU fell into in their most recent HC’ing searches. She would have to line up with others on their knees hoping for the 3rd or 4th best G6 candidate, according to how much NIL resources she could promise; or bet on the potential of an emerging assistant. But many would be leary of a fan base who wanted to get rid of a coach who had made the playoff the year before - there might be many who would understandably pass. We saw what UF and AU had to settle for. They fell out of the LK sweepstakes being outbid by LSU’s big NIL promise.
Kalen DeBoer, with his shortcomings and different philosophical approaches, is a legitimately good P4 HC. How good no one knows yet. I personally would be stunned if Alabama was able to replace him with someone of equal stature, especially in light of the current world and Alabama’s diminished place in it.
I’m sure the University itself is watching all with bated breath because Alabama may be more dependent on football than any other in the country. Where are they going to put their resources, or more importantly, where is she going to get them, and at what cost?