Bama Game Thread: MBB Sweet Sixteen - Bama vs Wolverines - Friday 6:35cst TBS/TRU

[CajunCrimson]

Tipoff time, TV channels revealed for Alabama basketball vs. Michigan in Sweet 16

Here's when and how to watch Alabama basketball battle top-seeded Michigan.

www.al.com

Opening early to move Bama NCAAT talk here.

 

[AlexanderFan]

Got to keep the defensive intensity and rebounding activity to have a chance.

Finishing at the rim has got to be better than the Ole Miss game.

 

[CajunCrimson]

Nothing I’m reading at the moment gives us a chance. Other than a blistering 3pt rally. Which is hard to do back to back

 

[CrimsonEyeshade]

We can shoot better than we did against Texas Tech. The question is can we do it against Michigan’s defense.

 

[dayhiker]

Nothing I’m reading at the moment gives us a chance. Other than a blistering 3pt rally. Which is hard to do back to back

It seems whenever we have a blistering performance, the next game is a terrible 3pt performance that takes us back to our average. It's probably not an us thing. It's probably a pretty universal thing. It would actually be pretty interesting for someone to do a statical analysis of this. Sounds like a good AI project.

 

[Cruiser]

Bama is bottom five in the country in second chance points given up and Michigan is one of the best at points in the paint; we will need to have one of our best games in rebounding effort, like against TT.
Obviously; we have to make shots from the line. I believe we are 2-4 with less than 10 3's.
Expecting great effort; will it be enough? We shall see.
RTR!

 

[BamaMoon]

We were cold from 3 pretty early and warmed up as the game went on. And our best player had a terrible shooting night. But on the flip side, he became an assist machine!

But the real key to keeping this one close and having a chance to win is doing what we did against TT on the defensive end!

 

[BamaMoon]

I expect Michigan will try to do what Tennessee does or what Duke did last year.

They will try to run us off the 3 point line. Their guards will try to limit ball rotation around the perimeter and they'll try to force our guards to drive to the paint, which is were they have the advantage with their huge front court.

Basically, they want to make this a 2-point possession type of game.

Our response will have to be drawing fouls and getting to the FT line. I suspect we'll see a lot of Philon and Allen driving downhill.

 

[atlbama]

I expect Michigan will try to do what Tennessee does or what Duke did last year.

They will try to run us off the 3 point line. Their guards will try to limit ball rotation around the perimeter and they'll try to force our guards to drive to the paint, which is were they have the advantage with their huge front court.

Basically, they want to make this a 2-point possession type of game.

Our response will have to be drawing fouls and getting to the FT line. I suspect we'll see a lot of Philon and Allen driving downhill.

Totally agree with this. I expect they will study the TN game film and copy the game plan completely. They have the front court to make it very difficult on us if we can't get good looks from outside.

 

[CajunCrimson]

Regular Season & Postseason Game Log 3pt makes/takes/percentage


1. Nov 3, 2025 vs. North Dakota → W 91-62 → 8-27 (.296)


2. Nov 8, 2025 @ St. John’s (NY) → W 103-96 → 11-35 (.314)


3. Nov 13, 2025 vs. Purdue → L 80-87 → 16-43 (.372)


4. Nov 19, 2025 vs. Illinois (N) → W 90-86 → 13-36 (.361)


5. Nov 24, 2025 vs. Gonzaga (N) → L 85-95 → 9-29 (.310)


6. Nov 26, 2025 vs. UNLV (N) → W 115-76 → 14-33 (.424)


7. Nov 27, 2025 vs. Maryland (N) → W 105-72 → 14-31 (.452)


8. Dec 3, 2025 vs. Clemson → W 90-84 → 12-34 (.353)


9. Dec 7, 2025 vs. UTSA → W 97-55 → 16-57 (.281)


10. Dec 13, 2025 vs. Arizona (N) → L 75-96 → 12-32 (.375)


11. Dec 17, 2025 vs. South Florida → W 104-93 → 13-33 (.394)


12. Dec 21, 2025 vs. Kennesaw State (N) → W 92-81 → 10-31 (.323)


13. Dec 29, 2025 vs. Yale → W 102-78 → 22-54 (.407)


14. Jan 3, 2026 vs. Kentucky → W 89-74 → 15-38 (.395)


15. Jan 7, 2026 @ Vanderbilt → L 90-96 → 9-40 (.225)


16. Jan 10, 2026 vs. Texas → L 88-92 → 11-28 (.393)


17. Jan 13, 2026 @ Mississippi State → W 97-82 → 12-34 (.353)


18. Jan 17, 2026 @ Oklahoma → W 83-81 → 10-33 (.303)


19. Jan 24, 2026 vs. Tennessee → L 73-79 → 6-26 (.231)


20. Jan 27, 2026 vs. Missouri → W 90-64 → 15-39 (.385)


21. Feb 1, 2026 @ Florida → L 77-100 → 14-34 (.412)


22. Feb 4, 2026 vs. Texas A&M → W 100-97 → 16-48 (.333)


23. Feb 7, 2026 @ Auburn → W 96-92 → 12-23 (.522)


24. Feb 11, 2026 @ Ole Miss → W 93-74 → 17-45 (.378)


25. Feb 14, 2026 vs. South Carolina → W 89-75 → 14-34 (.412)


26. Feb 18, 2026 vs. Arkansas (2OT) → W 117-115 → 10-29 (.345)


27. Feb 21, 2026 @ LSU → W 90-83 → 10-30 (.333)


28. Feb 25, 2026 vs. Mississippi State → W 100-75 → 22-50 (.440)


29. Feb 28, 2026 @ Tennessee → W 71-69 → 10-27 (.370)


30. Mar 3, 2026 @ Georgia → L 88-98 → 16-42 (.381)


31. Mar 7, 2026 vs. Auburn → W 96-84 → 7-27 (.259)


32. Mar 13, 2026 vs. Ole Miss (SEC Tournament) → L 79-80 → 9-29 (.310)


33. Mar 20, 2026 vs. Hofstra (NCAA Round of 64) → W 90-70 → 12-36 (.333)


34. Mar 22, 2026 vs. Texas Tech (NCAA Round of 32) → W 90-65 → 19-42 (.452)

 

[dayhiker]

There isn't quite as strong a pattern as I thought. Games 6-9, 13-15, 16-19, 20-22, and 23-24 all seem to ebb and flow. There's a rising %, then a drop, then it repeats.

 

[CajunCrimson]

My AI is annoying me but I think it’s finally right.

 

[dayhiker]

View attachment 56358
My AI is annoying me but I think it’s finally right.

That looks more like it's the game or two after THE game that really takes the dip.

 

[CajunCrimson]

That looks more like it's the game or two after THE game that really takes the dip.

I noticed that too.

 

[BamaMoon]

Thanks Cajun!

 

[Joefus]

Roll tide! Under oats we usually have at least one tournament game we shoot lights out in and then the next game we come crashing back to earth so I don’t see us hitting a lot of 3s especially with their d BUT if our bigs stay hot……we got a chance. They want us to drive? Cool our bigs will be on the 3 line letting em rain. We can out rebound their guards

 

[bamadwain]

We are going to have to make 10-15 threes, and try to get offensive rebounds, they will out rebound us, if we can make them play our style we have a chance

 

[CajunCrimson]

Roll tide! Under oats we usually have at least one tournament game we shoot lights out in and then the next game we come crashing back to earth so I don’t see us hitting a lot of 3s especially with their d BUT if our bigs stay hot……we got a chance. They want us to drive? Cool our bigs will be on the 3 line letting em rain. We can out rebound their guards

Last year we had back then to back 40%+. We just didn’t shoot many vs Grand Canyon.

 

[Bama Shoals]

Last year we had back then to back 40%+. We just didn’t shoot many vs Grand Canyon.

Grand Canyon was the Final 4 year, two years ago.

 

[Bazza]

Good luck tomorrow - if I were Michigan, I wouldn't want to be facing Bama right now!