April 19, 1993
Off day
7-7
3rd place
1.5 games behind
BRAVES OFFENSIVE WOES CONTRASTED
With a .500 record and only 1.5 games out, the Atlanta Braves are in better shape at this point of the season than in either of their last two pennant-winning seasons. In 1991, the Braves had the exact same record (7-7), but were 2.5 games behind the Dodgers. Last year, the Braves were 6-8 and also 2.5 games behind the Astros. And - what does it mean?
Well, maybe everything.
Maybe nothing.
Runs Scored After 14 Games Since 1977
1983 - 72 (12-3)
1982 - 70 (13-2)
1991 - 67 (7-7)
1977 - 63 (8-6)
1979 - 57 (4-10)
1987 - 57 (6-8)
1981 - 56 (9-5)
1985 - 55 (6-8)
1986 - 54 (5-9)
1989 - 53 (7-7)
1992 - 52 (6-8)
1984 - 48 (5-9)
1980 - 39 (5-9)
1990 - 38 (2-12)
1993 - 37 (7-7)
1988 - 35 (2-12)
1978 - 32 (3-11)
The current Atlanta offensive drought - aided by 12 runs in their last game, mind you - ranks with some of the worst Braves teams of all-time or certainly the last 15 years. In fact, the 1993 Braves have only 2 more runs at this point than the ABSOLUTE WORST ATLANTA Braves team in history (1988). (The worst Braves teams ever are, in all probability, in order: 1935 [Babe Ruth was on this team], 1988, 1977 and then 1928. The Braves lost over 100 games six times in eight years in the first decade of the 20th century, but everyone understands it was the formative years of the sport and doesn't pay too much attention to that). Look at the records of the other Braves teams around them; only the 93 Braves are even remotely respectable record-wise.
On the other hand, they have 26 runs fewer and one fewer win than the 1977 Braves team, which endured a horrific 17-game losing streak and went 53-95 the rest of the way. Both the 77 and 79 teams, which were horrendous, had a lot of offense EARLY in the season, but they had Phil Niekro and a bunch of names out of the phone book on the mound.
On the other hand, look at the following:
Runs Allowed After 14 Games Since 1977:
1990 - 93
1988 - 74
1978 - 72
1979 - 70
1980 - 68
1984 - 65
1977 - 63
1985 - 60
1987 - 60
1986 - 53
1992 - 55
1991 - 51
1989 - 50
1983 - 49
1982 - 42
1993 - 41
1981 - 40
Even the five best Braves performances in fewest runs allowed have anomalies. Yes, the 82 and 83 teams were pennant contenders (82, of course, won), and 1989 finished last. Then there's 1981, which is a season of forgotten details, where the Braves were 2.5 games behind and a game over .500 on September 12, 1981, and went into a complete collapse, losing 14 of their last 21 games and getting Bobby Cox fired just ahead of a pennant. And you'll notice that in years where the Braves: a) had good hitting; and b: good pitching also, their records reflect that. The 82 and 83 teams were the best early season batting AND pitching - and finished 1st and 2nd. By contrast, the 78 and 88 teams were horrible at the start...and finished last with 93 and 106 losses. You might notice the 1990 team is the worst pitching and hitting about the same as the 93 Braves and got off to a 2-12 start. The rotation? Tom Glavine, Pete Smith, John Smoltz - and a bullpen by committee that included Kent Mercker and Mike Stanton, which only goes to show how much teams can improve and quickly.
It is unlikely Atlanta's offensive woes will continue too much longer. The team is loaded with a former MVP (Pendleton), Rookie of the Year (Justice), three excellent base stealers (Nixon, Sanders, Gant), and a solid contact hitter in Jeff Blauser, who is leading the league in hitting. And it should be noted the Braves ARE making contact and hitting the ball solidly, it's just going right at opposing players right now. The Braves head down to Miami for their first-ever matcup with the expansion Florida Marlins.
Game One: Greg Maddux vs Ryan Bowen
Game Two: John Smoltz vs Charlie Hough
Game Three: Steve Avery vs Jack Armstrong
There were only 3 games in the majors yesterday.

Off day
7-7
3rd place
1.5 games behind
BRAVES OFFENSIVE WOES CONTRASTED
With a .500 record and only 1.5 games out, the Atlanta Braves are in better shape at this point of the season than in either of their last two pennant-winning seasons. In 1991, the Braves had the exact same record (7-7), but were 2.5 games behind the Dodgers. Last year, the Braves were 6-8 and also 2.5 games behind the Astros. And - what does it mean?
Well, maybe everything.
Maybe nothing.
Runs Scored After 14 Games Since 1977
1983 - 72 (12-3)
1982 - 70 (13-2)
1991 - 67 (7-7)
1977 - 63 (8-6)
1979 - 57 (4-10)
1987 - 57 (6-8)
1981 - 56 (9-5)
1985 - 55 (6-8)
1986 - 54 (5-9)
1989 - 53 (7-7)
1992 - 52 (6-8)
1984 - 48 (5-9)
1980 - 39 (5-9)
1990 - 38 (2-12)
1993 - 37 (7-7)
1988 - 35 (2-12)
1978 - 32 (3-11)
The current Atlanta offensive drought - aided by 12 runs in their last game, mind you - ranks with some of the worst Braves teams of all-time or certainly the last 15 years. In fact, the 1993 Braves have only 2 more runs at this point than the ABSOLUTE WORST ATLANTA Braves team in history (1988). (The worst Braves teams ever are, in all probability, in order: 1935 [Babe Ruth was on this team], 1988, 1977 and then 1928. The Braves lost over 100 games six times in eight years in the first decade of the 20th century, but everyone understands it was the formative years of the sport and doesn't pay too much attention to that). Look at the records of the other Braves teams around them; only the 93 Braves are even remotely respectable record-wise.
On the other hand, they have 26 runs fewer and one fewer win than the 1977 Braves team, which endured a horrific 17-game losing streak and went 53-95 the rest of the way. Both the 77 and 79 teams, which were horrendous, had a lot of offense EARLY in the season, but they had Phil Niekro and a bunch of names out of the phone book on the mound.
On the other hand, look at the following:
Runs Allowed After 14 Games Since 1977:
1990 - 93
1988 - 74
1978 - 72
1979 - 70
1980 - 68
1984 - 65
1977 - 63
1985 - 60
1987 - 60
1986 - 53
1992 - 55
1991 - 51
1989 - 50
1983 - 49
1982 - 42
1993 - 41
1981 - 40
Even the five best Braves performances in fewest runs allowed have anomalies. Yes, the 82 and 83 teams were pennant contenders (82, of course, won), and 1989 finished last. Then there's 1981, which is a season of forgotten details, where the Braves were 2.5 games behind and a game over .500 on September 12, 1981, and went into a complete collapse, losing 14 of their last 21 games and getting Bobby Cox fired just ahead of a pennant. And you'll notice that in years where the Braves: a) had good hitting; and b: good pitching also, their records reflect that. The 82 and 83 teams were the best early season batting AND pitching - and finished 1st and 2nd. By contrast, the 78 and 88 teams were horrible at the start...and finished last with 93 and 106 losses. You might notice the 1990 team is the worst pitching and hitting about the same as the 93 Braves and got off to a 2-12 start. The rotation? Tom Glavine, Pete Smith, John Smoltz - and a bullpen by committee that included Kent Mercker and Mike Stanton, which only goes to show how much teams can improve and quickly.
It is unlikely Atlanta's offensive woes will continue too much longer. The team is loaded with a former MVP (Pendleton), Rookie of the Year (Justice), three excellent base stealers (Nixon, Sanders, Gant), and a solid contact hitter in Jeff Blauser, who is leading the league in hitting. And it should be noted the Braves ARE making contact and hitting the ball solidly, it's just going right at opposing players right now. The Braves head down to Miami for their first-ever matcup with the expansion Florida Marlins.
Game One: Greg Maddux vs Ryan Bowen
Game Two: John Smoltz vs Charlie Hough
Game Three: Steve Avery vs Jack Armstrong
There were only 3 games in the majors yesterday.
